Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ccdd0b79acbbfb54faae2f10ca9c2a3b2ce8b913478028409ae59326b730871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 55c | 45,000$24,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,300.05 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 45c | 35,990$16,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,195.41 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 46c | 4,805$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 3,400$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 2,303$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 981.19$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.22 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 585.23$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.88 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 73c | 576.82$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.92 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 355.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 330$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 46c | 330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked No | 46c | 304.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 31c | 251.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…d575backed Yes | 17c | 220$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 22c | 177.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 50c | 164.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 74c | 146.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…c6cabacked Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +237.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 31c | 56.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 43c | 40.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 33c | 37.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 47c | 33.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Derby County FC win on 2025-11-29?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.