La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fc83fac6d16bb596466a2be26bff370ec94d573daae230034956f5f984f745d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 37c | 50,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 63c | 40,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 63c | 9,425$5,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,937.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 5,961$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.6 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 881.95$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.12 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 37c | 475$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.36 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 37c | 465.91$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.18 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 335.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.08 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 31c | 293.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 52c | 193.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 40c | 76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 60c | 43.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Yes | 49c | 33.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 38c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 62c | 25.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 62c | 24.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 22.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf51…7c18backed Yes | 64c | 22.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will FC Andorra win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.