TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Wyoming vs. Fresno State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fresno Stateof Wyoming, Fresno State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,517,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,530,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,517,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Fresno State61c1,211,017$741,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469,160.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Wyoming38c496,788$188,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188,468.6216635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wyoming39c140,856$54,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,444.8693548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wyoming40c89,216$35,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,873.3326244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wyoming37c71,657$26,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,504.2158850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Wyoming38c70,000$26,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,8006832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wyoming39c62,102$24,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,051.922,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Wyoming40c61,211$24,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,592.8514743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Wyoming40c41,331$16,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,532.426147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Wyoming38c31,848$12,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,1177853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Wyoming42c30,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,60027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Wyoming40c27,810$11,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,14465945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wyoming40c24,300$9,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,73352641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Wyoming40c22,117$8,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,750.6417443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Wyoming40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wyoming40c14,306$5,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,742.3711851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Wyoming40c14,111$5,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,644.5215451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wyoming27c12,132$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.2886243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fresno State58c12,071$7,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,062.5714752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wyoming8c11,846$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.0864841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wyoming41c10,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05029055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wyoming32c8,612$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.0340541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wyoming38c8,329$3,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.2630949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wyoming25c8,146$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.7121538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wyoming40c7,419$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.241,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wyoming1c7,330$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.23790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Wyoming41c5,827$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.9781847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Wyoming41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0503116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-62.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wyoming0c4,727$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.971360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wyoming1c4,572$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wyoming41c4,170$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.0510851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Fresno State58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Wyoming35c3,770$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.751127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Wyoming42c3,468$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.465152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e2d…05e4backed Wyoming7c2,727$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wyoming29c2,720$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.5962843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Wyoming28c2,555$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709333%1 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wyoming6c2,061$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Wyoming39c2,008$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.952653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Wyoming38c2,004$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7706650%33 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Wyoming41c1,886$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.2249443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Wyoming41c1,800$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.3434529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Wyoming3c1,700$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…68debacked Wyoming40c1,600$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wyoming40c1,451$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.2149253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wyoming26c1,305$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.563243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Wyoming30c1,298$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4310753.3%57 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Wyoming40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48047131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Wyoming33c1,174$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3879142.9%39 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Fresno State57c1,124$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.2920450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fresno State72c1,096$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8519842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wyoming38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38011149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wyoming43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5276…74ddbacked Wyoming42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Wyoming38c916.89$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wyoming40c865$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4240244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Wyoming40c855$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34513452.2%70 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Fresno State79c760.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.091478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.32per pick47cpaid+72.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wyoming41c644.42$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7550358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wyoming14c644.16$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9857144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Fresno State60c631$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0352449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Wyoming6c600.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.114548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e2…bd6dbacked Wyoming40c564.4$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.052240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Fresno State67c537.49$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.495060%30 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Fresno State73c505.12$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1211854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Fresno State59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20510848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wyoming36c466.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7854243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wyoming26c466.26$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9713933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x226d…f49ebacked Wyoming27c444.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Fresno State59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf239…cbccbacked Wyoming40c369$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Wyoming40c354.18$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4328440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c09…a69fbacked Fresno State58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd750…5235backed Fresno State77c341.41$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wyoming26c315.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3155350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Fresno State65c307.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3218338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b17…2923backed Wyoming22c307$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a1…88f3backed Wyoming30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Wyoming5c299.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Wyoming32c278$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9611844.1%52 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Fresno State63c275$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7513548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Fresno State65c252.5$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4518868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Wyoming40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011436%41 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Wyoming40c244.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.734652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Wyoming40c211.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.677628.9%22 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wyoming27c210.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.726940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Wyoming12c207.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.614736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Fresno State68c204.92$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.925168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa038…341dbacked Wyoming10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206030%18 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Wyoming16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked Fresno State57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0366…3dbfbacked Wyoming37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Fresno State75c195.29$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Wyoming41c181.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5521629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Fresno State59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Wyoming42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Wyoming20c159.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9925819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Wyoming41c158.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Fresno State71c140.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0810664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb3…1356backed Wyoming29c134.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.262060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.