College Football · resolved market
Wyoming vs. Fresno State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d69fde1aa990be1f3af751c5b90ab14cc3fc4e6895d48c6dce852dcc525c19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fresno Stateof Wyoming, Fresno State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,517,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,530,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,517,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Fresno State | 61c | 1,211,017$741,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469,160.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Wyoming | 38c | 496,788$188,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,468.62 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wyoming | 39c | 140,856$54,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,444.86 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wyoming | 40c | 89,216$35,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,873.33 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wyoming | 37c | 71,657$26,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,504.21 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Wyoming | 38c | 70,000$26,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,800 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wyoming | 39c | 62,102$24,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,051.92 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wyoming | 40c | 61,211$24,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,592.85 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wyoming | 40c | 41,331$16,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,532.4 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Wyoming | 38c | 31,848$12,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,117 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wyoming | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wyoming | 40c | 27,810$11,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,144 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wyoming | 40c | 24,300$9,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,733 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wyoming | 40c | 22,117$8,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750.64 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Wyoming | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wyoming | 40c | 14,306$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.37 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Wyoming | 40c | 14,111$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.52 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wyoming | 27c | 12,132$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.28 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fresno State | 58c | 12,071$7,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.57 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wyoming | 8c | 11,846$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.08 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wyoming | 41c | 10,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wyoming | 32c | 8,612$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.03 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wyoming | 38c | 8,329$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.26 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wyoming | 25c | 8,146$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.71 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wyoming | 40c | 7,419$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.24 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wyoming | 1c | 7,330$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wyoming | 41c | 5,827$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.97 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Wyoming | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wyoming | 0c | 4,727$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wyoming | 1c | 4,572$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wyoming | 41c | 4,170$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.05 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Fresno State | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Wyoming | 35c | 3,770$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Wyoming | 42c | 3,468$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.46 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…05e4backed Wyoming | 7c | 2,727$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wyoming | 29c | 2,720$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.59 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Wyoming | 28c | 2,555$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wyoming | 6c | 2,061$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Wyoming | 39c | 2,008$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Wyoming | 38c | 2,004$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wyoming | 41c | 1,886$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.22 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Wyoming | 41c | 1,800$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.34 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Wyoming | 3c | 1,700$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…68debacked Wyoming | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wyoming | 40c | 1,451$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.21 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wyoming | 26c | 1,305$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Wyoming | 30c | 1,298$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.43 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Wyoming | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Wyoming | 33c | 1,174$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Fresno State | 57c | 1,124$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.29 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fresno State | 72c | 1,096$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.85 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wyoming | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wyoming | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Wyoming | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Wyoming | 38c | 916.89$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wyoming | 40c | 865$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.42 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wyoming | 40c | 855$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Fresno State | 79c | 760.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.09 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 47cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wyoming | 41c | 644.42$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wyoming | 14c | 644.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fresno State | 60c | 631$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.03 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Wyoming | 6c | 600.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Wyoming | 40c | 564.4$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.05 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Fresno State | 67c | 537.49$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Fresno State | 73c | 505.12$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Fresno State | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wyoming | 36c | 466.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wyoming | 26c | 466.26$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Wyoming | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Fresno State | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…cbccbacked Wyoming | 40c | 369$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wyoming | 40c | 354.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Fresno State | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…5235backed Fresno State | 77c | 341.41$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wyoming | 26c | 315.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Fresno State | 65c | 307.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…2923backed Wyoming | 22c | 307$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Wyoming | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Wyoming | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Wyoming | 32c | 278$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Fresno State | 63c | 275$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Fresno State | 65c | 252.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Wyoming | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Wyoming | 40c | 244.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Wyoming | 40c | 211.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wyoming | 27c | 210.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Wyoming | 12c | 207.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Fresno State | 68c | 204.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Wyoming | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wyoming | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Fresno State | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…3dbfbacked Wyoming | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Fresno State | 75c | 195.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Wyoming | 41c | 181.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Fresno State | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wyoming | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Wyoming | 20c | 159.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Wyoming | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Fresno State | 71c | 140.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed Wyoming | 29c | 134.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wyoming vs. Fresno Statethis page
- O/U 39.5Under won
- Spread: Fresno State (-3.5)Fresno State won
- Spread: Fresno State (-4.5)Fresno State won
- Wyoming vs. Fresno State: O/U 40.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.