South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d447adadd021f24f9fde78bdeaa530b5fa07aae013c375653ccafa04763a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,499.99 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 45c | 36,867$16,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,277.08 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 45c | 8,842$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.63 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 2,991$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.82 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 16c | 2,645$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.86 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 46c | 2,045$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.69 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,947$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes | 20c | 1,458$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…9920backed No | 56c | 1,317$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 40c | 1,240$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.1 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 989.62$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.34 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 15c | 650$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 622.49$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Yes | 30c | 414.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 31c | 322.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 43c | 231.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 46c | 227.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 19c | 123$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 45c | 101.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Yes | 45c | 91.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…01e9backed Yes | 45c | 68.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 58c | 68.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…28b6backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…327dbacked Yes | 43c | 46.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 46c | 43.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Yes | 46c | 40.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…dbf6backed Yes | 46c | 39.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 40c | 39.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 80c | 23.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…2078backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will SC Recife vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.