TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,110,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,171,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,110,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f6…e0debacked Kings41c221,199$90,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,479.473033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Kings39c160,493$62,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,803.674456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Trail Blazers59c99,555$58,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,817.5572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Trail Blazers63c60,000$37,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,20038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers59c43,814$25,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,910.421,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Kings37c40,700$15,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,048.9913455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings37c40,010$14,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,803.821,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Trail Blazers59c38,214$22,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,667.588961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Trail Blazers76c35,643$26,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,655.037745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Trail Blazers66c34,395$22,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,728.671,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Trail Blazers65c31,327$20,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,886.2348046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Trail Blazers60c30,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0003063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers61c23,593$14,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,196.73,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Kings33c17,826$5,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,960.7316848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers60c15,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers60c15,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings22c13,871$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed Trail Blazers60c13,867$8,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,522.493565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers68c13,668$9,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,335.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Trail Blazers60c13,500$8,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,352.3536741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers59c12,938$7,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,277.072,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings36c12,580$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.063,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Kings25c12,099$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.7134062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers61c11,012$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,346.012,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Trail Blazers70c10,056$7,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.341,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Trail Blazers61c8,930$5,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.75655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings18c8,656$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.932,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Kings40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2008939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers61c7,581$4,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9725…2365backed Trail Blazers71c7,256$5,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.493259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings4c6,827$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.351,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Trail Blazers61c6,159$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.8972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Trail Blazers61c6,066$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.5741954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Kings40c6,000$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings22c5,560$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.333,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Trail Blazers64c5,145$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.3627917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Trail Blazers62c4,821$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.7513442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Trail Blazers61c4,500$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7556352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Trail Blazers67c4,450$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.0118453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers61c4,030$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.11,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Trail Blazers67c3,842$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.0685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Trail Blazers62c3,535$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.9721455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Kings3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Trail Blazers61c3,126$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.7144459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings23c3,108$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.511,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked Trail Blazers60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings21c2,836$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.5134227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Trail Blazers60c2,816$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.8539744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Trail Blazers60c2,735$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.2630157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers59c2,731$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.81,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Kings40c2,531$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Kings40c2,501$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.2847949.7%238 W · 241 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Kings40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Trail Blazers68c2,362$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.2481529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Trail Blazers61c2,316$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.657050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Trail Blazers63c2,228$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.91,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Trail Blazers62c2,222$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.3376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings38c2,053$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kings31c2,015$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.411,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Trail Blazers61c2,010$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.946342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Kings11c2,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21020034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers60c1,976$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.41,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Trail Blazers53c1,874$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.9653134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Trail Blazers58c1,853$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.422763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings31c1,770$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.521,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Trail Blazers70c1,667$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.41,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings39c1,659$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.21,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Trail Blazers63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.35646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Kings38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c4…8fbabacked Kings40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers61c1,485$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.42,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers61c1,440$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.041,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Kings30c1,405$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.614617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings1c1,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Trail Blazers68c1,286$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.061,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings1c1,253$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.538820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers59c1,244$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings12c1,230$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.461,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c1,221$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.211,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Trail Blazers61c1,200$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46849142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings38c1,200$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9821538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Trail Blazers61c1,189$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.5210149.5%50 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Trail Blazers61c1,155$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.348944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf229…4ef1backed Kings40c1,100$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Trail Blazers70c1,097$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2527840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Trail Blazers80c1,084$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8429458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Trail Blazers61c1,063$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.730947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Trail Blazers73c1,056$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae44…b7fbbacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x573b…2c2abacked Trail Blazers61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Kings29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Trail Blazers75c955.6$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.66758.2%39 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings3c899.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers67c898.89$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.445,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff20…8003backed Trail Blazers60c853.33$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Trail Blazers61c843.27$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.7730452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.