TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,959 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5520…32ffbacked Kings2c2,500$50 inLost-$50440%0 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers55c1,124$620 inWon+$504.334,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Kings45c600$270 inLost-$27018453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings45c503.25$226 inLost-$226.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Kings40c88$35 inLost-$35.24953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Kings40c85$34 inLost-$344560%27 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Kings40c84$34 inLost-$33.68852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Trail Blazers60c35$21 inWon+$145056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Trail Blazers60c29$17 inWon+$11.62347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed Trail Blazers60c27$16 inWon+$10.82544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked Trail Blazers60c24$14 inWon+$9.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Trail Blazers60c22$13 inWon+$8.82846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Trail Blazers60c22$13 inWon+$8.82462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Trail Blazers60c21$13 inWon+$8.43831.6%12 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.