TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,840 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b90…8cdcbacked Kings49c412.24$200 inLost-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Trail Blazers53c283.02$150 inWon+$133.0223058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Trail Blazers52c200$104 inWon+$9610652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Kings48c121$58 inLost-$58.084052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Kings48c118$57 inLost-$56.646160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers52c102$53 inWon+$48.963,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings50c100$50 inLost-$504,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers50c100$50 inWon+$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings48c98.8$47 inLost-$47.426,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Kings48c96$46 inLost-$46.088050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings47c70.77$33 inLost-$33.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Kings48c55$26 inLost-$26.49048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers52c47.8$25 inWon+$22.942,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Trail Blazers52c45$23 inWon+$21.63154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Trail Blazers52c28$15 inWon+$13.442035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked Trail Blazers52c27$14 inWon+$12.962142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Trail Blazers52c26$14 inWon+$12.484360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f8…667fbacked Trail Blazers52c24$12 inWon+$11.522254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67de…1d9bbacked Trail Blazers52c23$12 inWon+$11.042065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Trail Blazers52c20$10 inWon+$9.62748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.