NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbcd50eb4893a0cf761f7bce6e9128f7a33a80cbc9414e4f03d95769ccbb7f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Over | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,399.98 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…c638backed Under | 51c | 23,529$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,529.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 54c | 11,409$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,305.14 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…6491backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…a2e7backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…cfcbbacked Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…4940backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 54c | 9,753$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.74 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 9,010$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.09 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 7,131$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 6,394$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.25 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 1,433$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.33 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 1,209$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.68 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.91 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 54c | 1,087$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.42 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 47c | 827.66$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Over | 48c | 625.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 46c | 609$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 582.05$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 570$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4741backed Under | 56c | 444.64$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Over | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 308.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 253.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 55c | 226$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 50c | 142.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 48c | 137.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 129$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 54c | 104$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 99.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 55c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 65.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…704ebacked Under | 68c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…2739backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 50c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…0b54backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5this page
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Kings won
- Trail Blazers vs. KingsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.