NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd299918fb0493a3664f5fd9e3d00fa9a405a3298c3e528db00d18e46afb93217
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 58,027$29,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,124.13 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 22,330$10,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,850.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 17,629$8,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,515.79 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…d819backed Over | 51c | 2,831$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 2,122$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 47c | 1,896$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 47c | 1,536$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.73 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 971.57$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.35 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 965.09$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 49c | 923.26$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 800$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 48c | 626$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…c4acbacked Over | 48c | 595.83$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 49c | 583$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.55 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 49c | 465.69$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Over | 47c | 306.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 50c | 200.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 49c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 95.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 49c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Under | 51c | 94.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 48c | 73.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 72.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 49c | 48.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 49c | 46.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 47c | 26.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 236.5this page
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Kings won
- Trail Blazers vs. KingsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.