Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46d1817f35843b5af3acb11c01fb2598f4491c576f6ab5cc86c92127d4f3d309
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 62c | 19,761$12,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.18 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 28c | 5,356$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.38 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 62c | 4,991$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 13c | 3,401$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.64 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 2,371$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,088$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 63c | 940$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.8 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 851.12$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.93 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 841$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 63c | 790.48$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.48 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 64c | 781.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.24 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 65c | 772.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2f87backed No | 41c | 607.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 61c | 438.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 36c | 254.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 14c | 237.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 38c | 199.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…c790backed Yes | 62c | 192.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 36c | 187.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 185.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…fe8dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 64c | 139.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 38c | 120.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 19c | 105.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 32c | 68.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 65c | 65.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 39c | 28.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…3cf3backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…c6d1backed Yes | 63c | 19.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 64c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…4821backed Yes | 62c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…845fbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will FC Famalicão vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.