TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96e5…bb74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+279.8%+$83.95
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37%+$14.79
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+354.5%+$141.82
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+62.9%+$18.88
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+55.8%+$33.49
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+135.7%+$54.3
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.86
Big Game: Coin Toss Team Winnerbacked SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$38.17
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.4%+$49.33
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$104.24
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$133
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$86.34
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$80
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+172.1%+$68.82
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Florida vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5.17
Spread: Miami (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$47.59
Arkansas vs. Memphisbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.49
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 0-29 tweets on September 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on September 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.