Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Detroit Titans vs. IU Indy Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec1c8909d2530f564f700f15fe4303fd4e8c8215ffb44e96fd4f0281d51f06cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Titansof Detroit Titans, IU Indy Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Detroit Titans | 43c | 1,230$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.59 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed IU Indy Jaguars | 48c | 1,057$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.87 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed IU Indy Jaguars | 60c | 1,025$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Detroit Titans | 47c | 954.39$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.83 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed IU Indy Jaguars | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Detroit Titans | 33c | 328.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Detroit Titans | 32c | 314$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Detroit Titans | 43c | 252.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Titans | 37c | 251.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed IU Indy Jaguars | 68c | 247$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…bb74backed IU Indy Jaguars | 8c | 192.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Detroit Titans | 41c | 192.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 44c | 134$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed IU Indy Jaguars | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 47c | 102.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Detroit Titans | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked IU Indy Jaguars | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Detroit Titans | 50c | 84.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Detroit Titans | 75c | 72.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Detroit Titans | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Detroit Titans | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed IU Indy Jaguars | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Detroit Titans | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Detroit Titans | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Detroit Titans | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Detroit Titans | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Detroit Titans | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…3962backed IU Indy Jaguars | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Detroit Titans | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Titans | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 25.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…d510backed Detroit Titans | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed IU Indy Jaguars | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 62c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Titans vs. IU Indy Jaguarsthis page
- Detroit Titans vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 167.5Under won
- Detroit Titans vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 169.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.