Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d6844327c418e9688b89f4d8caf81b98c190f129c1df1a1721fd75344c95857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 52c | 113,758$59,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,603.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 49c | 40,000$19,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,410.44 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 48c | 39,031$18,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,734.76 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 28,086$13,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,430.74 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 59c | 21,554$12,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,797.26 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 52c | 17,950$9,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,615.87 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 50c | 15,448$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 50c | 7,416$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.24 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 54c | 6,600$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 51c | 3,696$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.44 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 3,429$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.59 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 48c | 2,729$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.07 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 52c | 1,708$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,318$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 50c | 1,184$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.3 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.24 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 910.88$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.67 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 49c | 902.11$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 48c | 898$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.01 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 59c | 514$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 46c | 415.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 62c | 414.71$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.31 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 20c | 291.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 284.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 51c | 268.04$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes | 51c | 244.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Yes | 48c | 225.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 211$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 9c | 202.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.42 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 12c | 200$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 60c | 165.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 52c | 152.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 51c | 147.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 47c | 129.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked No | 54c | 97.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 52c | 49.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…f1f1backed Yes | 49c | 45.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…edfcbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…9f33backed Yes | 49c | 30.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 52c | 24.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…bb74backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will FC Nantes vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.