Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Elon Phoenix vs. Hofstra Pride
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78bae6600109dc4cd3b5b774008d052afb4533d8626f9bb0bc02fc6334c3533b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elon Phoenixof Elon Phoenix, Hofstra Pride
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Hofstra Pride | 38c | 2,645$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elon Phoenix | 62c | 2,065$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hofstra Pride | 34c | 2,013$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Elon Phoenix | 68c | 1,777$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hofstra Pride | 70c | 1,703$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.9 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Elon Phoenix | 30c | 1,237$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hofstra Pride | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Elon Phoenix | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Hofstra Pride | 67c | 999.99$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elon Phoenix | 62c | 912.8$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.86 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Elon Phoenix | 78c | 832.43$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.72 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hofstra Pride | 42c | 801.15$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.64 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Hofstra Pride | 46c | 737.82$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.58 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hofstra Pride | 12c | 714.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hofstra Pride | 37c | 645.76$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.43 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hofstra Pride | 60c | 551.15$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 30c | 549.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.34 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Hofstra Pride | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hofstra Pride | 30c | 330.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hofstra Pride | 61c | 323.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Elon Phoenix | 41c | 319.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.27 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…ae95backed Hofstra Pride | 57c | 298.97$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Elon Phoenix | 57c | 296.05$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Hofstra Pride | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Elon Phoenix | 59c | 263.02$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Hofstra Pride | 41c | 246.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hofstra Pride | 42c | 223.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Elon Phoenix | 54c | 221.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed Elon Phoenix | 52c | 204.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Elon Phoenix | 65c | 171.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hofstra Pride | 70c | 148$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 140.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Elon Phoenix | 54c | 132$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Elon Phoenix | 30c | 129.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Hofstra Pride | 43c | 125.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Elon Phoenix | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Elon Phoenix | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Hofstra Pride | 19c | 115.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…f50abacked Elon Phoenix | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Hofstra Pride | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Elon Phoenix | 64c | 99.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Elon Phoenix | 31c | 95.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Hofstra Pride | 46c | 85.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Hofstra Pride | 37c | 84.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Elon Phoenix | 64c | 73.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Hofstra Pride | 54c | 72.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Elon Phoenix | 27c | 72.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…3ad0backed Elon Phoenix | 65c | 51.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Elon Phoenix | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Elon Phoenix | 58c | 46.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Elon Phoenix | 66c | 44.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Hofstra Pride | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Hofstra Pride | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Hofstra Pride | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…385dbacked Elon Phoenix | 62c | 35.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Hofstra Pride | 42c | 35.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Elon Phoenix | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…f4d3backed Hofstra Pride | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hofstra Pride | 50c | 25.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…d868backed Elon Phoenix | 51c | 25.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Elon Phoenix | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78c0…5ea6backed Elon Phoenix | 55c | 21.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…d510backed Elon Phoenix | 69c | 21.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…48ccbacked Elon Phoenix | 72c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…bb74backed Elon Phoenix | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked Elon Phoenix | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Elon Phoenix | 66c | 18.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed Hofstra Pride | 73c | 17.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…fbe5backed Elon Phoenix | 69c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elon Phoenix vs. Hofstra Pridethis page
- Elon Phoenix vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-5.5)Elon Phoenix won
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-6.5)Elon Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.