NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x793d549cc48d6d5e41ac121751e49a2458b9db45007e61fcc83ba50acf4ba70b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Cavaliers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,761,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,787,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,761,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 590 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Rockets | 57c | 700,000$399,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300,999.91 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers | 44c | 643,320$282,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282,966.6 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Cavaliers | 43c | 158,335$68,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,084.18 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Rockets | 55c | 127,059$70,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,676.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 119,408$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 58c | 99,113$57,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,627.46 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Cavaliers | 42c | 90,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,800 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Cavaliers | 42c | 57,558$24,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,174.36 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Cavaliers | 36c | 33,049$11,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,817.71 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers | 38c | 30,591$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700.41 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 59c | 25,094$14,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,386.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 19,607$8,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,237.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Rockets | 55c | 18,888$10,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.6 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 57c | 18,615$10,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,004.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Rockets | 62c | 16,129$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.03 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers | 42c | 15,500$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,510.05 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 42c | 14,188$5,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,894.03 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rockets | 63c | 14,000$8,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.51 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 24c | 13,946$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.46 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 55c | 11,291$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.92 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 11,000$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 42c | 10,015$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Rockets | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 44c | 9,998$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.18 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 74c | 8,724$6,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rockets | 61c | 7,985$4,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.67 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 44c | 7,671$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.26 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Rockets | 60c | 6,839$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.04 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers | 38c | 6,820$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.6 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Cavaliers | 39c | 6,790$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.77 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Rockets | 62c | 6,737$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.08 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…c1aebacked Cavaliers | 2c | 6,471$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 40c | 5,908$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 5,864$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.56 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Rockets | 60c | 5,501$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.43 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Cavaliers | 17c | 5,426$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.77 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 5,200$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Rockets | 59c | 5,065$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.53 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Rockets | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers | 0c | 4,941$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09a…a371backed Rockets | 59c | 4,937$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Rockets | 61c | 4,923$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.95 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…6f46backed Cavaliers | 39c | 4,800$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Rockets | 59c | 4,728$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.82 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 0c | 4,544$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Rockets | 55c | 4,527$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.93 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Rockets | 56c | 4,518$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.86 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…a120backed Cavaliers | 39c | 4,500$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 22c | 4,256$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Cavaliers | 41c | 4,100$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cavaliers | 42c | 4,046$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Cavaliers | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Cavaliers | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.98 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 44c | 3,636$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 32c | 3,528$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.85 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cavaliers | 40c | 3,410$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.95 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587a…13b0backed Rockets | 59c | 3,407$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 41c | 3,395$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.8 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…aea3backed Rockets | 63c | 3,383$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…cf28backed Cavaliers | 37c | 3,366$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…f043backed Rockets | 61c | 3,300$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Cavaliers | 35c | 3,191$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.43 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Rockets | 57c | 3,162$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.93 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 3,067$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.13 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde21…8910backed Cavaliers | 1c | 3,006$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rockets | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Rockets | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Rockets | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Rockets | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Cavaliers | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…6033backed Cavaliers | 37c | 3,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets | 63c | 2,956$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.65 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 56c | 2,585$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.44 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Cavaliers | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…026cbacked Cavaliers | 7c | 2,365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 33c | 2,206$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Rockets | 61c | 2,003$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.28 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Cavaliers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Rockets | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Cavaliers | 1c | 2,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Rockets | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cavaliers | 1c | 1,881$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…818bbacked Rockets | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Cavaliers | 37c | 1,719$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.64 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 1,669$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…f151backed Rockets | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…f90ebacked Cavaliers | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 1,569$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Rockets | 58c | 1,542$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.71 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…a3e1backed Cavaliers | 37c | 1,536$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…8c8dbacked Rockets | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Rockets | 59c | 1,497$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Rockets | 75c | 1,467$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.68 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rockets | 59c | 1,450$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.41 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,363$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.35 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Rockets | 78c | 1,332$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 71c | 1,324$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Rockets | 61c | 1,290$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.92 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,245$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Rocketsthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.