NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec8f44fe98e7a189c3bd8c18d35dcc4b9f5d099df217a9009cd83e6d2ac1857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 53c | 12,904$6,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010.19 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 7,284$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.05 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 4,882$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.51 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Under | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 2,100$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 56c | 2,079$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.45 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,232$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 911.8$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 46c | 831$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.26 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 570$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 503.75$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…797abacked Over | 47c | 466$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7448…b4cfbacked Under | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 401$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.97 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 51c | 274.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 209.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 201.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 47c | 156.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 142.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 130.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 52c | 127$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 46c | 86.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 79.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 36c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…ae9abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Over | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 47c | 47.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 45.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…0269backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 47c | 28.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 52c | 28.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Cavaliers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.