TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2025-09-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$248,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes44c58,827$25,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,912.019450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No56c50,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,0003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked No57c50,000$28,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,4003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c45,095$19,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,888.336,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No55c28,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,6008750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes45c10,142$4,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5642853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Yes41c8,503$3,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,486.0310849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No32c7,793$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,319.6451542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No55c6,437$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed Yes43c6,173$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.532626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes41c6,165$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed No56c5,800$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5673262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes43c4,669$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.666248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No57c4,669$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.528939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No34c3,887$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.9336954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb671…8349backed Yes44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd67…fb31backed No56c3,500$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No57c3,242$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.2410751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Yes47c3,159$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.734252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked No59c3,000$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.569242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f0…60dabacked No38c3,000$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes44c3,000$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.2732158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes44c2,936$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.5528736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0509749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes72c2,320$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.3628070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86011838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No58c2,000$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.074139%16 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes41c1,682$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.6290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c1,626$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.667042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No55c1,383$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.4910455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes75c1,331$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003871.1%27 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes46c1,226$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5641,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5403839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes41c1,154$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.2417958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes42c1,120$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.9946651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes55c1,101$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.4335758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No46c1,065$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.222227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c1,006$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.54,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes36c889$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.7327235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked No60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed No26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.23850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbe…819ebacked No80c750$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.51361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30117745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes5c690$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.520744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes41c672.33$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9319735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes62c564.52$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed No52c529.83$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.632254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c59…ad51backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed No57c524.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9210445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No55c517.42$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.843138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked No61c491$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.497963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes63c468.11$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fd…1fd8backed Yes43c460.47$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed No45c446.31$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.471040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1766744.8%30 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked No45c352.05$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.051513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No56c340$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.39150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31fa…20c5backed No39c337.34$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No19c322$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.614339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Yes67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13521839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked No34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.124628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yes45c282.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.314161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No56c257.22$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes41c246.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.259849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes77c245.68$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1311540.9%47 W · 68 L-16.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8232…12dbbacked No34c220.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+124%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes44c213.57$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9737054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No59c211.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8613342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe10…bd67backed Yes75c210.83$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1932…4e5abacked No19c210.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.531735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Yes65c197$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.055431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Yes43c194.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.797560%45 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.447352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No76c170.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4515337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6718841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Yes63c159.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-71.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf1dc…5460backed No28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086729.9%20 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08fd…8ff9backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-62.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d5…cf40backed Yes69c144.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3519460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No19c139.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0830666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked No39c127.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.53452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No41c125$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.758646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No18c125$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.55523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.426247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.83435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked No36c112.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.494528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9f6…18bcbacked No59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c108$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No14c107$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.021758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc0b…8299backed No57c102$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.861764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c81…eda9backed Yes65c100.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.