Will Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742e97213804d1b8fd1e297b7caa0d1bc997be936912b9107e01bafc947688e0

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,958 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked No	17c	5,779$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.85	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No	48c	2,660$1,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,278.09	287	36.2%104 W · 183 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	73c	1,708$1,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.91	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No	46c	1,314$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.69	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	54c	1,125$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.43	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes	19c	1,118$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$905.72	369	54.5%201 W · 168 L	+50.1wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	57c	1,038$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.77	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes	16c	900$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+162.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd666…a3fbbacked Yes	24c	872.87$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.38	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	40c	871$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525.61	272	35.7%97 W · 175 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	78c	869.45$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.03	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	72c	828.01$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.17	481	50.9%245 W · 236 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No	21c	788$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.72	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes	27c	753.06$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.06	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No	17c	690$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.3	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbf97…beb5backed Yes	70c	538.72$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.72	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.33per pick	60cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	26c	533.32$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.99	197	35.5%70 W · 127 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No	74c	499.98$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.99	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No	73c	472.68$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.31	420	43.8%184 W · 236 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.67	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes	26c	384.62$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.62	70	60%42 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes	26c	381.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.85	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes	20c	372.23$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.23	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.37	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.14	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes	29c	346.63$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.63	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No	30c	306.19$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.86	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7474…4ebabacked No	17c	298.87$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.81	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+28%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes	71c	281.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.69	30	76.7%23 W · 7 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	65cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	73c	278.14$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.04	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	26c	270$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.8	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No	74c	270$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.8	227	64.8%147 W · 80 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca28…6241backed Yes	27c	260.26$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.26	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	34c	200$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…701abacked Yes	27c	200$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+3.4wins	+0.37per pick	40cpaid	+118.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c95…ebecbacked No	73c	200$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Yes	26c	195.62$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.76	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x356a…d352backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.19	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1ff7…9834backed Yes	28c	178.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.57	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.67	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d3…b9e4backed Yes	14c	164.29$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+257.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes	28c	154.75$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.42	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f2…0bc9backed Yes	27c	148.15$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.15	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	53cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3024…8ecebacked Yes	27c	148.15$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.15	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	193	36.8%71 W · 122 L	-14.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes	28c	142.94$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.94	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.11	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes	28c	107.14$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.14	291	46%134 W · 157 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes	27c	103.7$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.7	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	26c	100$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	86	31.4%27 W · 59 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x158f…2bb3backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f4…5781backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x59d9…eec0backed No	73c	100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No	34c	90$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes	28c	89.29$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.29	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes	25c	85$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.75	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-7.1wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb12b…f1dabacked Yes	25c	80$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No	38c	76$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.65	282	46.1%130 W · 152 L	-12.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x317e…a004backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.07	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No	25c	73.76$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	149	53.7%80 W · 69 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.43	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb882…e13ebacked Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-6.0wins	-0.40per pick	60cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes	27c	63.87$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.63	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No	20c	57.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes	70c	56.57$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.97	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes	71c	55.59$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.22	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.32per pick	70cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Yes	27c	55.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.56	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes	27c	55.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.56	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes	27c	55.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.56	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes	28c	53.57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.57	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No	64c	53.54$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	255	45.5%116 W · 139 L	-18.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb64…a57ebacked No	74c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	74cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	73c	47$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.31	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes	75c	46.56$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.56	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad63…3092backed Yes	74c	40.75$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Yes	71c	35.96$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.43	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.7wins	-0.37per pick	57cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x21b1…7292backed Yes	67c	34.31$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	69cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d3…372ebacked Yes	71c	31.8$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No	73c	20.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	179	58.1%104 W · 75 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb32b…522dbacked No	74c	16.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e0…0b63backed No	73c	13.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	72cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-20?No won
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event