NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63c2b29f776882f6a873ab08f9233b5ce81878f08901b356cefbfeefed9a7256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Broncos, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,993,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,107,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,993,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Broncos | 43c | 773,185$335,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335,861.45 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Chargers | 50c | 292,443$145,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,551.48 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers | 57c | 167,696$95,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,630.13 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Chargers | 57c | 150,004$85,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,001.77 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Broncos | 56c | 94,000$53,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,023.24 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chargers | 57c | 90,000$51,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,899.95 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Broncos | 44c | 82,908$36,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,221.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Chargers | 56c | 68,379$38,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,088.57 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Broncos | 42c | 60,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,199.96 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Broncos | 42c | 47,840$19,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,983.61 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Broncos | 43c | 43,960$18,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,855.34 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Broncos | 42c | 40,669$17,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,081.07 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Chargers | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.95 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Chargers | 55c | 39,088$21,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,769.06 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Chargers | 57c | 35,860$20,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,359.8 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Chargers | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Chargers | 62c | 32,815$20,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,365.21 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Chargers | 56c | 30,350$17,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,272.65 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Chargers | 58c | 29,143$16,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,240 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chargers | 56c | 27,965$15,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,294.4 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Broncos | 42c | 27,682$11,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,626.52 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Chargers | 57c | 20,500$11,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,898.73 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chargers | 56c | 20,100$11,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,744.39 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Chargers | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Chargers | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Chargers | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Broncos | 65c | 19,869$12,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,914.68 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Broncos | 43c | 19,061$8,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,232.96 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Broncos | 45c | 18,613$8,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,375.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Chargers | 58c | 18,060$10,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,522.26 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Broncos | 44c | 17,316$7,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.02 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Chargers | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Broncos | 42c | 12,982$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.59 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chargers | 41c | 12,482$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350.67 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Chargers | 58c | 10,500$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Chargers | 63c | 10,226$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Chargers | 57c | 10,000$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Chargers | 59c | 8,823$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Chargers | 50c | 8,816$4,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.11 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…74a5backed Broncos | 66c | 7,800$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Broncos | 45c | 7,774$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chargers | 56c | 7,457$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.1 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Chargers | 62c | 7,403$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.23 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Broncos | 42c | 7,118$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.56 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Broncos | 41c | 6,615$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.32 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Chargers | 50c | 6,103$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.69 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Chargers | 49c | 6,073$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Chargers | 62c | 5,953$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.09 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Broncos | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Chargers | 66c | 5,182$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.64 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Chargers | 53c | 5,000$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.08 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Chargers | 57c | 5,000$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Chargers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1235backed Chargers | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Broncos | 42c | 4,760$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Chargers | 57c | 4,563$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chargers | 58c | 4,444$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.48 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Chargers | 57c | 4,367$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Chargers | 37c | 4,238$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.88 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Broncos | 60c | 4,203$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.14 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chargers | 49c | 4,144$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.13 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chargers | 56c | 4,017$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.48 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Chargers | 57c | 4,000$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.35 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Chargers | 59c | 4,000$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Chargers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chargers | 51c | 3,827$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.48 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Chargers | 63c | 3,633$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.33 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chargers | 50c | 3,631$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.54 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Broncos | 51c | 3,551$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.37 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Chargers | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Chargers | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Chargers | 57c | 3,405$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.26 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Chargers | 57c | 3,278$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.54 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…98ecbacked Chargers | 59c | 3,100$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Chargers | 59c | 3,100$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Chargers | 58c | 3,008$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Chargers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Chargers | 57c | 3,000$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c0…c012backed Broncos | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chargers | 49c | 2,986$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.31 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Broncos | 42c | 2,912$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.44 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Chargers | 26c | 2,861$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.93 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Chargers | 58c | 2,848$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.81 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Broncos | 53c | 2,681$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Chargers | 57c | 2,600$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Broncos | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…404ebacked Chargers | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Broncos | 42c | 2,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa3…5154backed Chargers | 33c | 2,130$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Broncos | 40c | 2,127$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Chargers | 28c | 2,105$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.86 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Chargers | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Chargers | 58c | 2,000$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…98b8backed Broncos | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Chargers | 62c | 1,966$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Chargers | 58c | 1,960$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Chargers | 56c | 1,939$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.22 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Chargers | 35c | 1,913$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.03 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…97edbacked Chargers | 58c | 1,897$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Broncos vs. Chargersthis page
- Spread: LAC (-1.5)LAC won
- Spread: LAC (-3.5)DEN won
- Spread: LAC (-7.5)DEN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.