Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f18d3500f82e6e1918d73e59e6a03c752621ff16cadd028f95b126ad19f1b39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $612,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $664,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 65c | 290,322$188,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,180.06 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 35c | 83,693$29,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,400.58 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 37c | 36,054$13,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,798.81 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 35c | 32,346$11,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,996.57 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 53c | 24,811$13,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,707.4 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 42c | 20,894$8,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,690.74 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 59c | 15,953$9,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,503.48 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 36c | 14,553$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,313.92 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 75c | 12,802$9,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.73 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Yes | 37c | 12,074$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,607.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 35c | 9,098$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,913.54 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 35c | 9,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.98 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 42c | 8,766$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.07 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 63c | 8,024$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066.37 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 35c | 7,985$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,190.23 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 65c | 6,154$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 13c | 5,892$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.71 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 5,590$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.56 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 6c | 5,206$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.39 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 63c | 5,147$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.45 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 31c | 4,676$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.34 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked No | 65c | 4,437$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 35c | 4,364$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.39 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 14c | 3,670$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.97 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 36c | 3,200$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 73c | 2,733$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.77 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 65c | 2,600$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 8c | 2,507$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.73 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 13c | 2,422$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 17c | 2,419$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.5 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 70c | 2,100$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,061$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.36 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked No | 13c | 1,750$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 37c | 1,624$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.79 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…084fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,606$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 35c | 1,600$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.99 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 63c | 1,535$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.29 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 69c | 1,488$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.77 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed No | 18c | 1,432$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…cd2bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 10c | 1,355$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 19c | 1,329$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 13c | 1,285$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Yes | 68c | 1,282$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 59c | 1,120$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…0c92backed Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…2142backed Yes | 69c | 1,092$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 69c | 1,045$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.38 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81df…d751backed Yes | 68c | 996.91$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 35c | 974.76$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.59 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Yes | 36c | 936.12$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 35c | 899.93$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.95 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 36c | 873$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.72 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked No | 66c | 850$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked No | 65c | 820.51$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 35c | 800$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 798.44$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.58 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 70c | 756.47$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.94 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 36c | 750$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 63c | 745.21$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.48 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 16c | 720$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 19c | 699.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Yes | 48c | 699.97$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.98 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 78c | 675.63$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 37c | 659.51$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.01 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed No | 41c | 634.61$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.47 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde00…6879backed No | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 64c | 570.3$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 72c | 568.51$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.18 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 73c | 561.11$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.66 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 36c | 559.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 35c | 510.44$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.44 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed No | 64c | 506.04$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.87 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…20f1backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 29c | 486.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 36c | 486.11$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…b40ebacked No | 64c | 479.97$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.18 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 19c | 423.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…5ae5backed Yes | 61c | 411.79$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 35c | 398.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.97 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…e669backed No | 64c | 392.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 80c | 375.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.