Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x765453a0d71f8152e313b7402985c62f38cc75467dbefdc117ad6c6dfde7ab55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 75c | 40,000$29,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,126.73 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 34,930$8,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,857.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…3a85backed Yes | 26c | 6,160$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…0b9abacked No | 74c | 4,052$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9093…b928backed Yes | 26c | 3,850$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 20c | 3,377$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.56 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…e305backed No | 74c | 3,245$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 25c | 3,004$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.88 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…2bf9backed No | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…b7d8backed Yes | 12c | 2,479$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,166$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,839$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.66 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 9c | 1,743$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 13c | 1,588$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 12c | 1,447$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 74c | 1,360$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,147$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 28c | 1,008$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…833abacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 994.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 73c | 776.77$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.73 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…8de2backed Yes | 26c | 770$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 14c | 704$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…1331backed Yes | 13c | 700$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 21c | 686$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 666$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 611.46$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.09 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 26c | 567$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.09 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 12c | 530.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 9c | 506.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 27c | 485.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 469.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 26c | 396.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 19c | 393.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 391$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 13c | 388.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…517abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…a48abacked Yes | 14c | 365.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 27c | 358.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed No | 74c | 350.78$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 73c | 342.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 12c | 330.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 6c | 319.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 8c | 314.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…b219backed Yes | 10c | 308.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 12c | 291.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 74c | 271$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…d891backed Yes | 13c | 256.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 8c | 256.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 10c | 256.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 14c | 220.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 16c | 205$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 26c | 202$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…9e98backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…a202backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…31cabacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…2349backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…862ebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…f1dabacked Yes | 12c | 167.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 12c | 165.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…1ab6backed Yes | 12c | 165.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…a622backed Yes | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…fec3backed Yes | 20c | 151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 17c | 132.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Yes | 16c | 124.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…d352backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…234cbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 19c | 99.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…aaaabacked Yes | 26c | 97.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…7f8cbacked Yes | 21c | 93.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…12a8backed Yes | 17c | 86.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.