Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfb60c899c3f90c0db94aeabf0b437f004d8a7e059da5c0def434ee7b3c58b0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $698,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 39c | 288,156$112,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,097.21 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 61c | 148,645$90,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,835.82 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 38c | 110,972$42,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,654.17 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 61c | 70,932$43,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,746.23 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 61c | 60,096$36,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,237.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 61c | 37,873$23,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,770.41 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 62c | 31,563$19,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,120.64 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 61c | 31,420$19,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,253.76 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 69c | 25,945$17,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,004.24 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 24c | 22,445$5,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,295 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 33c | 20,387$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.33 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 66c | 20,125$13,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,813.65 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 62c | 19,063$11,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,283.71 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 14,833$10,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.14 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 63c | 12,720$7,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.84 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 39c | 11,756$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.83 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 10,962$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.96 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 38c | 9,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.97 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed No | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.93 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 7,886$5,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.52 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 39c | 7,680$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.2 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 61c | 6,171$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.66 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 61c | 6,115$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.38 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 61c | 5,599$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.01 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 61c | 5,308$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 61c | 5,100$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 5c | 4,040$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 3,952$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.71 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 62c | 3,825$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 3,542$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.46 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 3,536$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.35 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 3,384$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.03 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 2c | 2,999$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 61c | 2,600$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 38c | 2,598$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.52 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 39c | 2,526$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.49 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked No | 62c | 2,333$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 7c | 2,269$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 2,233$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.88 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 61c | 2,211$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.51 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 32c | 2,207$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 61c | 2,159$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.83 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 39c | 2,050$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…f346backed Yes | 39c | 1,838$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 61c | 1,795$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.08 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 1,607$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.52 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…a39cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 3c | 1,438$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,336$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 37c | 1,295$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.1 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a671backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…3501backed Yes | 41c | 1,231$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Yes | 12c | 1,075$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…1331backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 40c | 965.03$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 15c | 941.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 15c | 915.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa326…4556backed Yes | 39c | 894.74$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 28c | 862.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec9…b631backed Yes | 7c | 829.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 15c | 809.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 40c | 807.5$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 39c | 794.87$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 62c | 783$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…bd67backed Yes | 14c | 774.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 15c | 763.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…417dbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 739$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.19 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed No | 67c | 714$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 39c | 708.79$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.43 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…b9e4backed Yes | 33c | 707.31$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…d891backed Yes | 7c | 700.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c49…7af9backed Yes | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 5c | 690.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 39c | 674.72$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.34 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 15c | 672.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 39c | 645.51$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Yes | 8c | 645.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 25c | 640.6$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 27c | 600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 39c | 569.23$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 6c | 560$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Yes | 39c | 559.13$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…c3bebacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes | 39c | 517.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…7a65backed Yes | 38c | 517.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.