TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,785 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes43c40,000$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,20010357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c34,527$14,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,881.816,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No57c30,000$17,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,9003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes43c21,919$9,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,442.4135758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked No57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.923237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes43c9,098$3,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,912.0379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c6,279$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.31,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes40c5,368$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.0927235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes40c2,485$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.3728736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No52c1,644$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.6951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73530666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes43c1,328$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.9967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Yes37c1,003$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yes44c757$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.084946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c724.04$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.754,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No56c651.91$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.849450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes42c636.81$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4619735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes43c635.23$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b21…1c38backed No62c553.81$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.451283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No55c522.22$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2359849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No59c516.36$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7121353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No54c461.05$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0846651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1766225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes43c396.35$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4331655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yes44c355.64$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.483560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8820447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes45c343.82$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.728825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12325339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes42c269.93$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.173043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No55c268.89$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12121839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked Yes45c224.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4da9…ad9ebacked Yes46c215.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes44c209$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.965944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.994228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes43c179.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes44c177.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2414953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes43c170$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.615726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes44c161$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.842030%6 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x797f…d4e0backed No58c156.72$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.821154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-6.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-57.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes45c133.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607231.9%23 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Yes69c117.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.792045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes18c111.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes46c106.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes43c102.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.269231.5%29 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.777657.9%44 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes43c96.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes44c89.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ad3…915abacked Yes25c80.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes42c80.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7511838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.415037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No58c79.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3426054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed No58c77.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5912753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes44c77.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2536845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No66c72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1525545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes46c71.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes70c68.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.095853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes57c65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8828246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No55c48.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.616863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No56c44.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6142755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc6…3629backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8946…e772backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…db3abacked Yes69c38.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.691040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Yes43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155532.7%18 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked No58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.486261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7599…36d7backed Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed No36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3312342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x484f…28cbbacked Yes41c31.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96e5…bb74backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes43c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes43c26.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3710752.3%56 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4f…8402backed No58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes43c25.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes69c22.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick70cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb32b…522dbacked No57c21.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.432766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.68058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc673…ca1ebacked Yes69c17.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.