Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fcba2b397a14f9fd1bf8c97abcba971edf0ec43c0af5c886c2c79465c7c2825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,200 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 34,527$14,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,881.81 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 43c | 21,919$9,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,442.41 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked No | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 43c | 9,098$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.03 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 6,279$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.3 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 40c | 5,368$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.09 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 40c | 2,485$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.37 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 52c | 1,644$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.69 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 43c | 1,328$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.99 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Yes | 37c | 1,003$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 44c | 757$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.08 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 724.04$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 56c | 651.91$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.84 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 42c | 636.81$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.46 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 43c | 635.23$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed No | 62c | 553.81$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 55c | 522.22$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 59c | 516.36$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 461.05$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 43c | 396.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 44c | 355.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 45c | 343.82$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 42c | 269.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 55c | 268.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Yes | 45c | 224.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…ad9ebacked Yes | 46c | 215.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 44c | 209$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 44c | 177.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 43c | 170$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 44c | 161$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed No | 58c | 156.72$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -6.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 45c | 133.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 69c | 117.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…20afbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 18c | 111.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 46c | 106.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 43c | 102.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 43c | 96.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 44c | 89.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…915abacked Yes | 25c | 80.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 42c | 80.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 58c | 79.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 44c | 77.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 66c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 70c | 68.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 55c | 48.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 56c | 44.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…3629backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…e772backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…db3abacked Yes | 69c | 38.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…9538backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…36d7backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed No | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked Yes | 41c | 31.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…bb74backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 43c | 26.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8402backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 69c | 22.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 57c | 21.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc673…ca1ebacked Yes | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.