Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea82f433bc23bb91d664058aab2ff9ce8bdf1164ebe4a42963d9f0bceac6c0a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 28c | 42,245$11,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,828.6 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 28c | 8,888$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.64 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 27c | 6,465$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.68 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 27c | 2,600$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 28c | 2,235$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.48 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 1,734$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.93 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 75c | 1,176$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 71c | 1,065$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.92 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 72c | 774$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde00…6879backed No | 72c | 753.42$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 25c | 634.12$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.53 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 18c | 467.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 72c | 357.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…a7c4backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 356.6$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 13c | 150.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 76c | 106$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…234cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…b40ebacked No | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed No | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed No | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 38.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 72c | 35.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.