Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2062f9c10ef77507994f5aa0613c605e3521bc95cc86b0d06b5cc6b77592686b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 4c | 3,976$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 44c | 3,109$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.87 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 2,404$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 60c | 1,810$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.96 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 46c | 662.2$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.21 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 8c | 552.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 551.71$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.28 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 12c | 491$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 66c | 304$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 14c | 282.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked No | 15c | 196.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…b9c7backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 29c | 105$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 27c | 52.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Yes | 53c | 42.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 71c | 25.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…eac7backed Yes | 59c | 25.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb48…1308backed Yes | 71c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.