TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Hofstra Pride vs. Stony Brook Seawolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stony Brook Seawolvesof Hofstra Pride, Stony Brook Seawolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93d1…0b89backed Hofstra Pride0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hofstra Pride73c1,970$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.4436944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Stony Brook Seawolves27c1,283$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.591,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a7…5314backed Hofstra Pride54c922.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stony Brook Seawolves66c855.14$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.063,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Stony Brook Seawolves27c671.29$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.0413735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hofstra Pride73c600$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4382,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Stony Brook Seawolves30c593.05$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.671,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36525043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c6…50c6backed Hofstra Pride11c365.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402524%6 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Hofstra Pride47c347$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves43c262.32$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.184,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Hofstra Pride65c250.35$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.792,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hofstra Pride8c141.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.843993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Stony Brook Seawolves52c120.27$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7436845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Stony Brook Seawolves26c95.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.84153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Stony Brook Seawolves23c86.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.981,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Hofstra Pride58c79.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.028342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Stony Brook Seawolves75c70.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4945644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Stony Brook Seawolves25c53.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.292,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Hofstra Pride73c49.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.520254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hofstra Pride68c49.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.951,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Hofstra Pride73c39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4743450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Stony Brook Seawolves29c39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.695657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Stony Brook Seawolves62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hofstra Pride66c34.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.763,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Hofstra Pride59c33.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Hofstra Pride75c33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Hofstra Pride66c31.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2123544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4317546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Hofstra Pride44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.212358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Hofstra Pride73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c0…e43ebacked Stony Brook Seawolves39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hofstra Pride75c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.582,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Hofstra Pride50c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.449747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e99…611dbacked Hofstra Pride76c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.482070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96e5…bb74backed Stony Brook Seawolves79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa10e…81f2backed Hofstra Pride76c18.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Hofstra Pride69c16.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6613840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.