College Football · resolved market
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe50e96445a2ed713edbf652e2e887d4e0dc58c406aea2eb7d797ae453fc0e8c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 52c | 106,435$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 45,737$21,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,757.64 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 42,812$20,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,966.47 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 25,808$12,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,505.16 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 23,080$11,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,346.89 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 10,158$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.9 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 52c | 8,438$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Under | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 20c | 3,015$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Over | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 1,776$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.24 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 37c | 1,442$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.73 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Over | 50c | 1,077$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.33 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Over | 76c | 733.14$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 55c | 235.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…bc95backed Over | 51c | 159.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Over | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 44c | 137.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Over | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Over | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 81.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 52c | 50.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…8260backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…9d26backed Over | 52c | 37.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…c148backed Under | 50c | 32.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…b3c6backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Under | 50c | 28.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 27.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…bb74backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…2a7dbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 56cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5this page
- O/U 56.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. GeorgiaOle Miss won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: 1H MoneylineGeorgia won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 54.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia (-6.5)Ole Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.