College Football · resolved market
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb182e1badf7827d85799058d689a87e6a7877ad0b35ff59bea040af95345b44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Ole Miss, Georgia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Ole Miss | 41c | 7,110$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia | 58c | 3,486$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.85 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Georgia | 61c | 3,228$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.93 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Ole Miss | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Georgia | 35c | 1,070$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.31 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Ole Miss | 65c | 1,070$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia | 60c | 1,056$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.81 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Georgia | 59c | 890$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Georgia | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ole Miss | 37c | 696.88$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Georgia | 59c | 691.87$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Ole Miss | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Ole Miss | 40c | 352.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…10b0backed Ole Miss | 37c | 326.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Ole Miss | 39c | 259.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Georgia | 60c | 246.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…f763backed Georgia | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ole Miss | 37c | 160.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Georgia | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Ole Miss | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Georgia | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Ole Miss | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Georgia | 52c | 91.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Ole Miss | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ole Miss | 60c | 47.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Ole Miss | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Georgia | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: 1H Moneylinethis page
- O/U 56.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. GeorgiaOle Miss won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 54.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia (-6.5)Ole Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.