College Football · resolved market
O/U 56.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a6d311ee6e5461a690d35083cf904c95d2350f85019ed3396eefaf8e1caee92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 62c | 32,196$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 38c | 13,254$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,165.81 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 11,317$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,825.23 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 57c | 10,036$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700.83 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 43c | 4,593$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.15 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 43c | 4,573$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.61 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 57c | 4,306$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 47c | 3,063$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.39 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 3,000$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.7 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 43c | 2,674$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.41 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 40c | 2,350$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.53 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Over | 47c | 1,917$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.01 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Under | 66c | 1,695$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.27 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 43c | 1,550$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.82 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Under | 42c | 1,203$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Under | 58c | 1,033$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 50c | 899.02$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.11 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 40c | 827$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.9 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…bbf9backed Under | 55c | 722.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…3ee1backed Under | 51c | 713.04$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 50c | 418.12$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.13 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 383.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 270$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 44c | 208.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 53c | 206.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Under | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 43c | 118$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 106.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Under | 59c | 103.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 42c | 103.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Under | 58c | 95.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 17c | 94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Under | 62c | 80.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 49c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…38c7backed Over | 46c | 64.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 42c | 64.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Over | 42c | 61.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Over | 46c | 52.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…9ec3backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Over | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 42c | 45.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Under | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 44c | 40.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 40c | 35.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…b91ebacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 56.5this page
- Ole Miss vs. GeorgiaOle Miss won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: 1H MoneylineGeorgia won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 54.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia (-6.5)Ole Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.