College Football · resolved market
O/U 59.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0521209f754b21763f252d8d5dbc0a816f86d0913d15b05e39353f229f8c5cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 6c | 3,795$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…3579backed Over | 39c | 1,716$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 35c | 643.54$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.52 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Over | 15c | 522.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b4…f756backed Over | 27c | 468.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 6c | 375$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Under | 63c | 283$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 6c | 183$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 41c | 168$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Under | 66c | 150.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 63c | 148$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 10c | 143.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 43c | 123.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Under | 61c | 114.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 14c | 77.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 57c | 71.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 35c | 48.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 40.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 65c | 22.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 59.5this page
- Rice vs. Texas StateTexas State won
- Rice vs. Texas State: 1H MoneylineTexas State won
- Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 55.5Under won
- Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 56.5Under won
- Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: Texas State (-11.5)Texas State won
- Spread: Texas State (-13.5)Texas State won
- Spread: Texas State (-14.5)Texas State won
- Spread: Texas State (-16.5)Texas State won
- Spread: Texas State (-17.5)Texas State won
- Spread: Texas State (-18.5)Texas State won
- Spread: Texas State (-19.5)Texas State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.