CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs FengDa Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea8325522e9c323d887d8611a74906123f5d14e191639442296459562a157f4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rare Atomof Rare Atom, FengDa Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Rare Atom | 76c | 12,821$9,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.74 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed FengDa Gaming | 24c | 5,789$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.12 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed FengDa Gaming | 15c | 3,416$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.72 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed FengDa Gaming | 25c | 2,787$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked FengDa Gaming | 23c | 1,939$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…abcebacked FengDa Gaming | 24c | 1,587$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked FengDa Gaming | 24c | 1,348$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.43 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…8015backed Rare Atom | 76c | 1,323$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Rare Atom | 80c | 1,126$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FengDa Gaming | 16c | 1,091$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…023abacked FengDa Gaming | 4c | 1,085$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FengDa Gaming | 2c | 1,024$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FengDa Gaming | 24c | 976.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed FengDa Gaming | 2c | 966.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…8401backed FengDa Gaming | 24c | 720$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…29bbbacked FengDa Gaming | 24c | 637$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…c3d8backed Rare Atom | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FengDa Gaming | 21c | 493.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e84…858fbacked FengDa Gaming | 24c | 488$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…1e2ebacked FengDa Gaming | 24c | 487$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…3154backed FengDa Gaming | 24c | 487$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…efd0backed FengDa Gaming | 24c | 486$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…0ce9backed FengDa Gaming | 24c | 486$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…e4edbacked FengDa Gaming | 24c | 443$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked FengDa Gaming | 23c | 434.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed FengDa Gaming | 11c | 401.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Rare Atom | 76c | 394.68$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 264 | 61%161 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…9d85backed Rare Atom | 76c | 371$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…c374backed Rare Atom | 76c | 370$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346b…3df4backed Rare Atom | 76c | 350$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed FengDa Gaming | 27c | 330.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Rare Atom | 76c | 312.09$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…2ac2backed FengDa Gaming | 25c | 305.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Rare Atom | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked FengDa Gaming | 8c | 299.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…5290backed Rare Atom | 76c | 266$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…24f9backed Rare Atom | 76c | 264$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…6fdbbacked Rare Atom | 76c | 248$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432c…17debacked Rare Atom | 76c | 248$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…3123backed Rare Atom | 76c | 246$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…5e64backed Rare Atom | 76c | 246$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502f…efaabacked Rare Atom | 76c | 245$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…ae5ebacked Rare Atom | 76c | 241$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…95a9backed Rare Atom | 76c | 241$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…7c64backed Rare Atom | 76c | 241$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…f025backed Rare Atom | 76c | 240$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed FengDa Gaming | 19c | 240$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…9e13backed Rare Atom | 76c | 239$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273b…9a3bbacked Rare Atom | 76c | 238$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Rare Atom | 80c | 236.6$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…85dbbacked Rare Atom | 76c | 204$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed FengDa Gaming | 11c | 199.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Rare Atom | 78c | 182.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Rare Atom | 77c | 181.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…9246backed FengDa Gaming | 18c | 101.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Rare Atom | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed FengDa Gaming | 21c | 96.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…9d52backed FengDa Gaming | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Rare Atom | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked FengDa Gaming | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked Rare Atom | 78c | 74.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Rare Atom | 77c | 51.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed FengDa Gaming | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Rare Atom | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Rare Atom | 76c | 45.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Rare Atom | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…ab55backed Rare Atom | 73c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…8e9dbacked Rare Atom | 76c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.