Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Olivia Gadecki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e17db2f35e616080fe9bd29ea4e1dc97f9a6aef56953af6db5f23ff3a18c1ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Andreeva, Gadecki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Andreeva | 74c | 2,641$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.02 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gadecki | 36c | 2,261$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.21 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Andreeva | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gadecki | 38c | 1,932$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Gadecki | 6c | 1,747$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gadecki | 28c | 1,409$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Gadecki | 18c | 1,400$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.79 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andreeva | 80c | 1,227$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Gadecki | 38c | 1,055$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.54 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gadecki | 40c | 1,025$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.94 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Andreeva | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Andreeva | 59c | 965.11$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.31 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Gadecki | 17c | 912.75$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Gadecki | 19c | 891$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.33 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Gadecki | 17c | 868.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gadecki | 22c | 809.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Andreeva | 69c | 774.66$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.52 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…a385backed Andreeva | 74c | 750$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Andreeva | 54c | 714.52$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.52 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Gadecki | 43c | 678.26$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Andreeva | 54c | 666$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.36 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Gadecki | 16c | 587.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Gadecki | 18c | 574.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Gadecki | 21c | 476.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Andreeva | 70c | 469.9$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Gadecki | 5c | 373.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Gadecki | 15c | 329.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Gadecki | 20c | 319.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Gadecki | 31c | 305.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gadecki | 28c | 221.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Gadecki | 8c | 208.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Andreeva | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Andreeva | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Gadecki | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Andreeva | 58c | 162.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gadecki | 22c | 145.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Andreeva | 76c | 142.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe8…32dfbacked Gadecki | 20c | 142.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Andreeva | 67c | 140$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…e3abbacked Andreeva | 58c | 138.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…adfdbacked Andreeva | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Andreeva | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Gadecki | 35c | 115.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Gadecki | 18c | 108.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Andreeva | 52c | 108.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…91d3backed Gadecki | 48c | 108.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Gadecki | 19c | 105.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Gadecki | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Andreeva | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Gadecki | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Gadecki | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Andreeva | 55c | 91.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…027cbacked Gadecki | 17c | 88.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…14bfbacked Gadecki | 29c | 81.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…eff9backed Andreeva | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 35cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Gadecki | 24c | 79.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Gadecki | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Andreeva | 74c | 60.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Gadecki | 18c | 60.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Gadecki | 28c | 57.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Andreeva | 71c | 57.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681c…ad15backed Gadecki | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gadecki | 30c | 56.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…840bbacked Gadecki | 27c | 56.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99de…a9b2backed Gadecki | 20c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Andreeva | 62c | 54.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Gadecki | 19c | 52.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…e7c3backed Gadecki | 22c | 52.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Andreeva | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Gadecki | 29c | 46.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…13f0backed Andreeva | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…99d2backed Gadecki | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Gadecki | 61c | 30.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…12e2backed Andreeva | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Gadecki | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Andreeva | 57c | 21.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b0d2backed Andreeva | 79c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…362dbacked Andreeva | 64c | 16.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Olivia Gadeckithis page
- Andreeva vs. Gadecki: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Andreeva vs. Gadecki: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.