TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida Gatorsof Georgia Bulldogs, Florida Gators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcfa1…7cf3backed Georgia Bulldogs0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gators79c18,165$14,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida Gators78c17,500$13,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Georgia Bulldogs22c16,256$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.161233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Georgia Bulldogs28c11,579$3,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,252.51,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Georgia Bulldogs24c10,246$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5066543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Florida Gators69c7,510$5,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.18749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Florida Gators73c5,621$4,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.6212358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7376…4f46backed Georgia Bulldogs21c4,810$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Georgia Bulldogs21c4,749$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.497839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia Bulldogs26c4,515$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.482,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Florida Gators79c4,348$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.611747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Gators77c3,984$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.074,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Florida Gators78c3,960$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.1924451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc526…bf92backed Georgia Bulldogs22c3,857$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830140%0 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f20…0360backed Georgia Bulldogs21c2,800$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+117.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Georgia Bulldogs18c2,611$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.9618129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Georgia Bulldogs9c2,581$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.191,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Florida Gators77c2,401$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.429144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators78c2,073$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.4112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Georgia Bulldogs23c2,050$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.510511.4%12 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Georgia Bulldogs22c1,776$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0713342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Florida Gators78c1,744$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.013,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Florida Gators80c1,598$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.971,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Georgia Bulldogs22c1,353$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.621,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Georgia Bulldogs21c1,326$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.496235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Georgia Bulldogs11c1,193$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.152,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Georgia Bulldogs21c1,161$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.628843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Georgia Bulldogs24c1,158$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Georgia Bulldogs24c1,000$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2342327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Georgia Bulldogs20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Florida Gators78c999.98$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2205440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Georgia Bulldogs22c909.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-89.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe3e…7909backed Florida Gators79c900$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick63cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbade…84b8backed Florida Gators79c900$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Georgia Bulldogs14c848.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.061,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Gators79c799.94$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Florida Gators70c750$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Georgia Bulldogs22c745.27$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.967727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Georgia Bulldogs24c742$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5661446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Georgia Bulldogs2c734.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd94a…4b46backed Georgia Bulldogs22c730.14$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fe…98a5backed Florida Gators79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x172a…6502backed Florida Gators79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3792…3f75backed Florida Gators79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…0c28backed Florida Gators79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb984…03febacked Florida Gators79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff1…1e74backed Florida Gators79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4c…913fbacked Florida Gators79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa2a…f4f7backed Georgia Bulldogs24c599.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Georgia Bulldogs23c549.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5637835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b50…5c6abacked Georgia Bulldogs19c548.32$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Florida Gators77c540.92$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6315861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Florida Gators79c538.72$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.142,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Georgia Bulldogs22c524.65$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.414925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Florida Gators80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad3…4144backed Florida Gators79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Georgia Bulldogs22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Florida Gators71c444.93$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.521,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Georgia Bulldogs23c400$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9048051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Florida Gators79c393.19$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5789850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Florida Gators69c378.85$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.251,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f49…1befbacked Georgia Bulldogs11c350$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.25714%8 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Georgia Bulldogs23c348$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Georgia Bulldogs22c300$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.13520%7 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gators79c292.71$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.664,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Georgia Bulldogs20c289.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.931,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Georgia Bulldogs23c276.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.525133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Georgia Bulldogs14c267.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Florida Gators80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ffa…1e06backed Georgia Bulldogs24c247.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed Florida Gators77c243$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Georgia Bulldogs22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Georgia Bulldogs23c220$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.621449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a1…a993backed Georgia Bulldogs22c210.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.241421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed Florida Gators79c200.35$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8660…7a93backed Georgia Bulldogs22c198.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Florida Gators78c195.82$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Florida Gators73c188.7$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Florida Gators78c184.67$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.861,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Florida Gators79c179.75$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7510650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0155…a6ffbacked Georgia Bulldogs11c179.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-77.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb9…7808backed Georgia Bulldogs21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gators78c166.25$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.273,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7af3…2320backed Georgia Bulldogs22c165.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Georgia Bulldogs23c153.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5718147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…f6e0backed Georgia Bulldogs17c150.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Georgia Bulldogs22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgia Bulldogs23c138$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.531,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…592cbacked Georgia Bulldogs22c136.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Florida Gators72c134$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.774152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Georgia Bulldogs20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Georgia Bulldogs21c122$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b20…d430backed Georgia Bulldogs23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb68a…f229backed Georgia Bulldogs24c105.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-77%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Florida Gators76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Georgia Bulldogs21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…5196backed Georgia Bulldogs21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Georgia Bulldogs21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Georgia Bulldogs21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.