Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6504f90473fd91393629e0bbb77d90a09b0ce3317acb01c39662d45d816b7c2f

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Florida Gatorsof Florida Gators, Georgia Bulldogs
Resolved: Jan 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $454,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $677,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,331 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Florida Gators	53c	202,452$107,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95,168.47	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Georgia Bulldogs	47c	100,000$47,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,000	691	42.8%296 W · 395 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Georgia Bulldogs	47c	53,932$25,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,348.18	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Georgia Bulldogs	47c	30,000$14,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,100	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Georgia Bulldogs	50c	17,820$8,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,912.37	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Georgia Bulldogs	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,700	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Florida Gators	49c	5,773$2,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,944.23	354	52.3%185 W · 169 L	+17.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Florida Gators	52c	5,483$2,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,631.79	841	47.4%399 W · 442 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Florida Gators	51c	4,999$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,449.71	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Gators	49c	4,399$2,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,243.69	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Georgia Bulldogs	47c	3,907$1,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,836.29	422	46.2%195 W · 227 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Georgia Bulldogs	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Georgia Bulldogs	48c	1,473$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.07	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Georgia Bulldogs	49c	909.55$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.68	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	736$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.64	605	48.9%296 W · 309 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Georgia Bulldogs	48c	724.14$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.59	222	50.9%113 W · 109 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Georgia Bulldogs	48c	668.77$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.01	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Florida Gators	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	352	43.2%152 W · 200 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Georgia Bulldogs	50c	482.25$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.63	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-7.6wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Georgia Bulldogs	49c	333$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.17	133	42.1%56 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Florida Gators	50c	333$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.5	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Georgia Bulldogs	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	794	48.9%388 W · 406 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc5…3984backed Florida Gators	52c	250$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	206.57$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.22	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	164	45.1%74 W · 90 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	169.48$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.87	148	46.6%69 W · 79 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Georgia Bulldogs	22c	144.41$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.21	279	55.2%154 W · 125 L	+22.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Florida Gators	52c	109.92$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.76	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7871…77c6backed Georgia Bulldogs	37c	100.07$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Georgia Bulldogs	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	349	52.1%182 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	98.09$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.42	120	34.2%41 W · 79 L	-13.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Georgia Bulldogs	47c	88.47$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.58	112	50%56 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	75.62$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.97	213	42.3%90 W · 123 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	66$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.34	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Georgia Bulldogs	49c	65$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.85	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Florida Gators	49c	57.15$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.15	210	59.5%125 W · 85 L	+17.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Georgia Bulldogs	47c	56.74$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.67	1,124	46.4%521 W · 603 L	-25.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1725…7405backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	50.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Florida Gators	52c	47.16$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef2…6e74backed Florida Gators	52c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e1…7c55backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	39.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Gators	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4b…f574backed Florida Gators	69c	32$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.92	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd925…3ab5backed Georgia Bulldogs	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe709…027cbacked Florida Gators	52c	29.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.11	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabba…58bbbacked Georgia Bulldogs	48c	28.83$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9c…b84dbacked Florida Gators	53c	28.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdaf…7556backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Florida Gators	49c	26.53$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40d8…73d9backed Georgia Bulldogs	49c	24.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6526…9c80backed Florida Gators	52c	21.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Florida Gators	49c	20.73$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)this page
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida GatorsFlorida Gators won
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators: O/U 174.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event