TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Incarnate Word Cardinalsof Southeastern Louisiana Lions, Incarnate Word Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,816 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals59c12,744$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.455945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions41c8,266$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.7290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions36c3,725$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.295,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions35c3,085$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.591,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions32c2,684$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.7523158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Incarnate Word Cardinals66c2,267$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.514035%14 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions21c1,538$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.181,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions15c933.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Incarnate Word Cardinals73c690$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.316051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions26c676.57$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions19c614.77$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.262,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Incarnate Word Cardinals70c555$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.665556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Incarnate Word Cardinals77c392.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1610757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Incarnate Word Cardinals76c364.92$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.583158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions30c338.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions27c320$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.622,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Incarnate Word Cardinals69c290.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals56c269.47$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.732748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Incarnate Word Cardinals75c264.5$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions24c220$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7121449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions41c218.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions34c203.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.062,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6236845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5210447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions24c198.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4842327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Incarnate Word Cardinals71c185.36$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.31,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions28c169.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.483135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions22c160.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions34c151.06$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0513219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Incarnate Word Cardinals79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.57467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Incarnate Word Cardinals58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+48%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Incarnate Word Cardinals68c147.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.019871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions21c123.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.434,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions47c114$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.661,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0155…a6ffbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-77.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Incarnate Word Cardinals36c101.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.924330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Incarnate Word Cardinals73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2725438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions27c92.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.842,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Incarnate Word Cardinals74c92.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.593,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd8…b4dbbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions27c73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.715,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions24c53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8327…1043backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions29c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Incarnate Word Cardinals53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8470…7933backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions37c27.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals73c27.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b51…7292backed Incarnate Word Cardinals74c17.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.682080%16 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd185…e40bbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions76c15.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c2…e8a3backed Incarnate Word Cardinals80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.