NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df364310d8c9959eb76587c73032741b8561951197711f56f16ca3e59aaaeb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Sabres, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $589,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 766 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Sabres | 49c | 135,341$65,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,954.34 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Sabres | 49c | 112,800$55,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,272 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Penguins | 52c | 86,173$45,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,104.29 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Sabres | 49c | 58,412$28,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,478.8 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 51c | 41,657$21,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,411.86 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Penguins | 52c | 21,383$11,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,291.32 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Sabres | 49c | 20,569$10,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,011.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…3877backed Penguins | 78c | 13,300$10,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…1cf5backed Sabres | 22c | 13,300$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Penguins | 51c | 10,196$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.04 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Penguins | 50c | 10,100$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Penguins | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Penguins | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Penguins | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 51c | 9,481$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.69 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 75c | 9,469$7,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.26 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Sabres | 47c | 8,989$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.73 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 51c | 8,426$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.64 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Penguins | 51c | 8,160$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres | 48c | 8,142$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.28 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 51c | 8,000$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 51c | 7,990$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.16 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Penguins | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.75 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Penguins | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 51c | 5,457$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.83 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Sabres | 49c | 4,729$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.87 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Sabres | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…0acabacked Sabres | 49c | 4,080$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…dc0cbacked Penguins | 52c | 4,079$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Penguins | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Penguins | 52c | 3,800$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 53c | 3,763$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.61 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Sabres | 49c | 3,751$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.99 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 53c | 3,694$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.87 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 51c | 3,558$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.59 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Penguins | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Penguins | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Penguins | 52c | 2,512$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Penguins | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…753fbacked Penguins | 71c | 2,118$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Sabres | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Sabres | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sabres | 1c | 2,022$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Penguins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Penguins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Sabres | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,977$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.77 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sabres | 48c | 1,893$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.64 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 53c | 1,772$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.62 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Penguins | 51c | 1,734$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.63 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sabres | 50c | 1,472$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Penguins | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sabres | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Penguins | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 45c | 1,136$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.28 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Penguins | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…8f53backed Penguins | 53c | 1,060$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…80e8backed Sabres | 48c | 1,060$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.21 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 32c | 1,013$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.84 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 48c | 1,007$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.23 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Penguins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Penguins | 53c | 1,000$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.48 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…57adbacked Sabres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…afeabacked Penguins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…b4aebacked Penguins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Sabres | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Sabres | 30c | 985.85$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.52 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Sabres | 50c | 960$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Penguins | 52c | 951.92$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…e7fbbacked Sabres | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…b69bbacked Sabres | 50c | 946$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…ff40backed Sabres | 50c | 944$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…a20dbacked Sabres | 50c | 942$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…f7ddbacked Penguins | 51c | 931.37$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Penguins | 53c | 928.3$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.3 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…9e71backed Penguins | 51c | 927.45$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…cb5dbacked Penguins | 51c | 925.49$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…41bbbacked Penguins | 51c | 923.53$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 52c | 919.9$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.55 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…946cbacked Penguins | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 52c | 869.17$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.2 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Sabres | 49c | 857.14$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sabres | 30c | 828.68$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Sabres | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…5494backed Sabres | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…fbe3backed Sabres | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Penguins | 52c | 797.17$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Penguins | 52c | 759.62$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.62 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 51c | 754.11$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.79 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 52c | 752$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.96 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Penguinsthis page
- Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.