NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9fd6c3f4deb4beb8a764966387c49258a4b5e66a1ff2cfc2a1be47af4a16bac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Suns, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,508,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,534,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,508,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 818 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 62c | 99,339$61,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,543 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 33c | 90,210$29,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,375.12 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Suns | 16c | 75,000$12,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,227.78 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Suns | 23c | 59,667$13,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,443 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Suns | 32c | 50,000$16,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,003.29 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…a902backed Suns | 48c | 41,115$19,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,749 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 67c | 40,214$27,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,098.92 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 68c | 40,000$27,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Suns | 56c | 39,027$21,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,832.23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 71c | 33,239$23,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,537.46 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Suns | 18c | 29,884$5,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,506.3 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 66c | 24,600$16,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,340.84 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 64c | 22,810$14,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 53c | 21,632$11,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,525.59 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 67c | 18,913$12,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.41 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Suns | 13c | 17,802$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Warriors | 56c | 16,870$9,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,436.5 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Warriors | 69c | 16,550$11,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.74 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 68c | 16,098$10,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.36 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Suns | 33c | 15,196$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.78 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 67c | 15,130$10,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.69 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 50c | 14,905$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,494.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Suns | 24c | 14,508$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.67 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Suns | 36c | 13,785$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.48 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Suns | 31c | 12,895$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Suns | 9c | 12,544$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.38 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Suns | 35c | 12,000$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.88 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Suns | 21c | 11,454$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.57 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Suns | 33c | 10,998$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.96 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Suns | 32c | 10,609$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Warriors | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.98 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 51c | 9,822$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,821.67 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Suns | 32c | 9,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Warriors | 67c | 8,446$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.41 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns | 7c | 8,397$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.97 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Warriors | 56c | 8,318$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.81 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Suns | 33c | 7,951$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.93 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Warriors | 66c | 7,143$4,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.71 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns | 3c | 6,805$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…08aabacked Suns | 42c | 6,600$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 67c | 6,515$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.81 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 54c | 6,313$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…6494backed Warriors | 67c | 6,100$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Suns | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Suns | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Suns | 32c | 6,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Suns | 33c | 5,995$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Warriors | 67c | 5,966$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.92 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Suns | 33c | 5,889$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.48 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Suns | 64c | 5,849$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Suns | 34c | 5,452$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.43 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Suns | 39c | 5,113$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…2365backed Suns | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.54 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Warriors | 52c | 4,733$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.86 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 46c | 4,608$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.33 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 31c | 4,437$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.79 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 64c | 4,390$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…7268backed Suns | 41c | 4,347$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 32c | 4,100$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Suns | 32c | 4,100$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.98 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…9ef7backed Suns | 32c | 4,018$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 68c | 4,000$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.59 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Warriors | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Warriors | 73c | 4,000$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Suns | 32c | 3,963$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.16 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 66c | 3,941$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 67c | 3,827$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.91 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Suns | 3c | 3,794$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Suns | 19c | 3,762$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Suns | 27c | 3,682$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.29 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…4f1bbacked Warriors | 46c | 3,591$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.91 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Suns | 50c | 3,579$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.37 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Suns | 38c | 3,528$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.12 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…ad7dbacked Suns | 49c | 3,450$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Suns | 35c | 3,301$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.71 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Suns | 17c | 3,266$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.16 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Suns | 5c | 3,127$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…a8a0backed Suns | 7c | 3,074$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Suns | 1c | 3,020$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Warriors | 66c | 3,000$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Suns | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Suns | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Suns | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.97 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Suns | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.96 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Suns | 35c | 2,937$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…cab1backed Suns | 34c | 2,929$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Suns | 17c | 2,720$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 54c | 2,435$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Suns | 33c | 2,428$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe114…5763backed Suns | 33c | 2,300$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 28c | 2,256$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Suns | 18c | 2,167$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 68c | 2,139$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.48 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 67c | 2,107$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.46 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…7790backed Suns | 33c | 2,106$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Suns | 35c | 2,003$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.63 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…ced1backed Suns | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Suns vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.