TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sunsof Warriors, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,157 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors47c8,252$3,865 inLost-$3,865.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Suns53c4,354$2,308 inWon+$2,046.651753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Suns53c2,572$1,363 inWon+$1,208.724051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Suns54c973.37$526 inWon+$447.7518140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef87…7231backed Suns54c792.59$428 inWon+$364.592259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Suns59c505.13$300 inWon+$205.1321055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Warriors46c500.02$231 inLost-$231.082,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Warriors46c500$230 inLost-$2302,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Suns50c500$250 inWon+$25016052.5%84 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Warriors2c500$10 inLost-$10440%0 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors36c460.59$167 inLost-$167.043,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Warriors50c442.1$221 inLost-$221.0556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Suns61c401.17$244 inWon+$156.7220150.7%102 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Suns52c359.63$187 inWon+$172.6251651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Suns54c300$162 inWon+$13819556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors46c292.59$135 inLost-$134.591,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors48c229.17$109 inLost-$109.073,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors49c207.9$102 inLost-$101.874,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Warriors49c204.08$100 inLost-$10023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Suns54c200$108 inWon+$9236854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Suns55c183.26$100 inWon+$83.269659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors46c121.11$56 inLost-$55.715,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Suns54c109.26$59 inWon+$50.2623051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors45c103.75$47 inLost-$46.692,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Warriors48c100$48 inLost-$4814127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors48c100$48 inLost-$482,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Suns53c99.53$53 inWon+$46.7811647.4%55 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Suns54c94.44$51 inWon+$43.4412454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Suns53c94.34$50 inWon+$44.348645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Warriors51c79.73$41 inLost-$40.653,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Suns53c70$37 inWon+$32.917447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Warriors47c68.69$32 inLost-$32.0293849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2325…3256backed Warriors48c65.63$32 inLost-$31.52055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Warriors46c53.42$25 inLost-$24.571,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Suns54c37.04$20 inWon+$17.0451651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…c893backed Warriors64c34.5$22 inLost-$2220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Suns54c33.33$18 inWon+$15.3390560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Suns53c20$11 inWon+$9.487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.