AI · resolved market
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3a26e8ca4f4dd9a7933e65fb1a36851b4527f7adadf477ca65106714ee26335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,581,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,573,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,581,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ed…6609backed Yes | 8c | 215,533$17,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,482.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…be8dbacked Yes | 8c | 57,633$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…cb1ebacked Yes | 8c | 20,748$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 6c | 16,222$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…fdb6backed Yes | 8c | 15,121$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…a17cbacked Yes | 7c | 14,643$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 14,253$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.69 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…7123backed Yes | 8c | 14,170$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…c29bbacked Yes | 16c | 13,001$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…98a9backed Yes | 8c | 12,786$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 78c | 12,658$9,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.72 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349a…14e8backed Yes | 7c | 12,397$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 36c | 11,441$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,377.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa758…0c98backed Yes | 64c | 11,312$7,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,214.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 19c | 9,202$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Yes | 7c | 8,809$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a29…46e7backed Yes | 7c | 8,501$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…880abacked Yes | 2c | 8,382$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…3cfcbacked Yes | 42c | 8,236$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…4f2cbacked Yes | 22c | 8,200$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 9c | 7,213$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 71c | 7,030$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.4 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 1c | 5,719$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,699$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…0029backed Yes | 9c | 5,595$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…aa7ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,152$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,826$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…2a96backed Yes | 7c | 4,672$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…f252backed Yes | 8c | 4,582$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Yes | 8c | 4,384$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 2c | 4,254$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b3…f954backed Yes | 8c | 4,169$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…7376backed Yes | 35c | 4,000$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,784$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,333$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…09f6backed Yes | 9c | 3,299$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 55c | 3,295$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…1935backed Yes | 14c | 3,244$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…e207backed Yes | 34c | 3,204$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…463cbacked No | 46c | 3,176$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…635cbacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,930$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 65c | 2,888$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,839$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…034cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,746$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed Yes | 0c | 2,699$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…c498backed Yes | 8c | 2,689$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…ca41backed Yes | 8c | 2,625$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,615$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…14e3backed Yes | 2c | 2,597$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…2a82backed No | 18c | 2,429$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a3…7eecbacked Yes | 4c | 2,366$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked No | 47c | 2,118$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 2c | 2,040$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 74c | 1,854$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…ab86backed Yes | 2c | 1,755$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 7c | 1,754$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…2037backed Yes | 11c | 1,700$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf599…31a9backed Yes | 17c | 1,675$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…58f3backed Yes | 2c | 1,572$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed No | 79c | 1,557$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.71 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Yes | 64c | 1,520$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a3…5e28backed Yes | 30c | 1,501$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,460$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 31c | 1,437$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.01 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…06e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,407$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,399$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,334$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.41 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…5bc9backed Yes | 8c | 1,331$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 8c | 1,253$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 41c | 1,212$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…8d58backed Yes | 8c | 1,210$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…4ea5backed Yes | 4c | 1,206$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…5260backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…1ebdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,198$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…c677backed Yes | 2c | 1,188$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e1…5baebacked Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…a4f8backed Yes | 2c | 1,045$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8122…cac1backed Yes | 10c | 1,043$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe000…d7dbbacked No | 27c | 1,036$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…94d7backed Yes | 2c | 1,026$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 68c | 1,011$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.08 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…f7bdbacked No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…8563backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9779…9378backed Yes | 1c | 901.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed No | 50c | 873.28$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…5218backed Yes | 3c | 862.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 2c | 840$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…294dbacked Yes | 2c | 813.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 808.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.85 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…a011backed Yes | 4c | 802.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…7cb1backed Yes | 8c | 797.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…cbb7backed No | 68c | 793.96$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…1602backed No | 49c | 760.03$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 18c | 757.47$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.13 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 28c | 757$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed Yes | 4c | 731.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…d774backed Yes | 2c | 720$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…1b0dbacked No | 70c | 715.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 6c | 707.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.