Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will BNB reach $1200 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a366b22692c467049091122ad56b716f94ec3a6ba92fd0e714e8037a2949ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93e6…d64bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,865$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked No | 61c | 1,588$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.19 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…56b5backed Yes | 29c | 1,364$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c4…bae0backed Yes | 29c | 1,246$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…64a8backed No | 71c | 915$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…c67cbacked No | 71c | 913$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…cc46backed No | 71c | 885$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c9a0backed No | 71c | 883$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…6096backed No | 71c | 879$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 1c | 835.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…ba7fbacked No | 64c | 693.89$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 16c | 382.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…98c7backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 258.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…4b93backed No | 80c | 215.6$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…dd3abacked Yes | 23c | 214.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x619f…bbb4backed Yes | 20c | 204.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6821…b826backed Yes | 20c | 200.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd47…fa91backed Yes | 20c | 195.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…d653backed Yes | 20c | 195.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…1d37backed No | 80c | 195.3$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ae…0b49backed No | 80c | 195.1$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…be68backed No | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…5c2fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…3ae9backed Yes | 65c | 170.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…215fbacked No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fa…d648backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…9b66backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…d697backed Yes | 13c | 100.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…fa80backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +58%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 14c | 72.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…af7cbacked Yes | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 62c | 41.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…7ec3backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 65c | 21.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…d545backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BNB reach $1200 in November?this page
- Will BNB dip to $800 in November?Yes won
- Will BNB reach $1400 in November?No won
- Will BNB reach $1600 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.