TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonego

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sonegoof Choinski, Sonego
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Choinski25c20,000$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,996.8967249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Choinski65c8,063$5,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,232.1511943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Sonego44c7,777$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,377.3424841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Choinski40c6,860$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.312,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd5d…9a7fbacked Choinski18c5,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff0c…c3e4backed Choinski18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e81…a854backed Sonego59c3,999$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945b…27c7backed Choinski18c3,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63060%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sonego61c3,336$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.192,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Sonego57c2,978$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.313857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Choinski19c2,918$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.625722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd3…c333backed Choinski18c2,806$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Sonego42c2,300$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.2514549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Sonego60c2,292$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.3975547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Choinski60c2,222$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.210060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Choinski18c2,077$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8316644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Sonego48c2,066$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.929152.6%153 W · 138 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15b…252ebacked Sonego77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.05540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x611d…d7d0backed Choinski19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick59cpaid-77.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Choinski26c1,858$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.772,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5c…ddaabacked Choinski19c1,856$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+74.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Sonego63c1,579$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.928562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02dd…d213backed Sonego61c1,565$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30f…e6eebacked Choinski19c1,536$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d9…c7f1backed Choinski19c1,523$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+74.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Choinski55c1,367$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.61,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d1…0a95backed Choinski19c1,342$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+74.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Choinski54c1,272$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.4324544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Choinski42c1,204$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-79.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdee…2cb3backed Choinski16c1,134$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Choinski54c1,125$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9565242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Choinski40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Choinski12c999$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.881414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Choinski3c949.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sonego46c915.2$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.6211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd4…11b4backed Choinski18c789$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9502…6d3cbacked Choinski18c788.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7915…f32fbacked Sonego64c750$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Choinski28c719.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0622744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb6…da3ebacked Choinski18c697.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.642420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Sonego46c641.33$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3296035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77dd…926dbacked Choinski8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa83e…922cbacked Choinski2c600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Choinski9c586.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sonego71c584.77$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.148,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea96…68febacked Choinski19c573.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Sonego70c560.89$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8613545.2%61 W · 74 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Choinski10c551.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555350.9%27 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Sonego69c506.36$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…13e6backed Sonego60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Sonego61c462.58$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.985362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf39e…e7c7backed Choinski48c458.85$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc597…4ee7backed Sonego68c439.21$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Sonego71c432.99$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.578143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fad…b5b2backed Choinski36c417.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.292128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Sonego47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21213959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Sonego61c388.52$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5218663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x296e…a116backed Choinski17c376.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1550%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae58…3f01backed Choinski18c339.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.144835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Choinski56c307.88$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Sonego54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Sonego78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6615447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8a3…4b19backed Choinski7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Sonego70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Choinski12c278.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4773147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Choinski36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…51a0backed Choinski7c276.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.594156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Choinski62c251.08$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Sonego71c250.81$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.468248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Choinski58c250$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.523852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Choinski18c241.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Choinski21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Choinski26c223.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.573557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x924e…4e84backed Choinski46c216.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9d…7f75backed Choinski39c200.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee13…0ff0backed Sonego47c195.31$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Sonego77c188.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2112974.4%96 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7003…684bbacked Choinski20c185$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd17…d296backed Sonego68c180.46$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Choinski53c177.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.166,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Choinski9c176.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.621233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Choinski57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Choinski29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c8…b5a0backed Choinski59c169.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56af…e2a4backed Choinski59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c8…1790backed Choinski23c167.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.762030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Choinski57c155.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.493948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Sonego66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5243158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Choinski27c151.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.821,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Sonego67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Choinski18c136.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.661,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Choinski60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.63943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc225…a890backed Sonego42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Sonego50c112.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.813158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Choinski19c111$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.095831%18 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…2518backed Sonego64c110.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.044951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bb…e7a1backed Sonego75c108.05$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.954153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde94…c8b2backed Choinski21c100.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc21…9eb9backed Sonego70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Choinski20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.