Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21d7f3700f45194dbfa9e02bb9f424894f7f693e83094c06d8c81bb9c1abcc45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $471,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccbc…a33abacked Yes | 1c | 11,133$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…8405backed Yes | 0c | 10,520$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27c…cfeabacked Yes | 1c | 10,422$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,817$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…b069backed Yes | 1c | 8,340$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes | 25c | 7,155$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.2 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…044fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,041$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 59c | 6,943$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.77 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 1c | 5,762$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x694e…8d20backed Yes | 23c | 5,604$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…bc55backed Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…563dbacked Yes | 11c | 4,953$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 4,266$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.85 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d8…6698backed Yes | 2c | 3,989$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…c27ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,930$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…797fbacked Yes | 54c | 3,880$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed Yes | 16c | 3,496$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.68 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…3e8dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,377$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…b056backed Yes | 18c | 3,114$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 3c | 2,803$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,566$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.11 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…e015backed Yes | 1c | 2,404$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,323$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.63 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…57efbacked Yes | 5c | 2,319$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 79c | 2,038$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.02 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…7b59backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c48…9d28backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,933$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 25c | 1,877$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.82 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9b…d776backed Yes | 10c | 1,670$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,630$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Yes | 1c | 1,449$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…44f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,413$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f41…3435backed Yes | 1c | 1,368$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…0aa4backed Yes | 1c | 1,285$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…a74cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,185$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,175$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked No | 19c | 1,082$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.21 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c226backed Yes | 20c | 1,053$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.29 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…9b41backed Yes | 6c | 1,019$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9d…dd7cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…a0babacked Yes | 6c | 939.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…dc59backed Yes | 22c | 918.45$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 28c | 850$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.45 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 4c | 786.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…9ddcbacked Yes | 2c | 736$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 79c | 724.26$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed No | 70c | 700$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…b515backed Yes | 68c | 695.93$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 54c | 692.88$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…8af3backed Yes | 14c | 637.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 7c | 550$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…2961backed Yes | 2c | 534$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 51c | 529.4$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.29 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 26c | 519.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…ddfbbacked No | 72c | 499.99$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…9ee2backed Yes | 40c | 491.34$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…3dfcbacked Yes | 5c | 482$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 28c | 473.6$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…00d8backed Yes | 51c | 432.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…e4b4backed Yes | 7c | 403.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8871…830abacked No | 25c | 341.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.93 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…d3c7backed Yes | 53c | 299.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…a3c3backed Yes | 34c | 295.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 26c | 277.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe631…cb8dbacked Yes | 12c | 209.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…fe13backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…da7ebacked No | 57c | 176.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Yes | 11c | 171.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 69c | 160.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…9b66backed Yes | 34c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…08ebbacked Yes | 15c | 136.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed No | 79c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…903dbacked Yes | 47c | 80.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde20…16d7backed Yes | 35c | 77.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes | 43c | 66.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…20cabacked Yes | 55c | 36.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…8ff8backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…54dfbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…1cecbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c7…428abacked No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…e7d1backed No | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8435…fca7backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…764fbacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…d6b8backed Yes | 79c | 15.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…dbc4backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.50 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.00 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.40 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.50 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.60 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.70 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.90 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.10 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?No won
- Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.