Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0380366133929665ec88a290795aeb2baa80c12ff9fcc45dbaad87a59f8645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,602,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,874,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,602,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6db…1282backed Yes | 0c | 314,955$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…a74cbacked Yes | 1c | 182,966$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bff7backed Yes | 0c | 157,319$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…67c6backed Yes | 1c | 144,456$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.73 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a7…57a0backed Yes | 1c | 45,973$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…563dbacked Yes | 3c | 33,218$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…27ccbacked Yes | 0c | 29,333$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…42d9backed Yes | 1c | 25,038$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9b…d776backed Yes | 3c | 23,331$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…22debacked Yes | 2c | 15,513$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 14,894$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.03 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…78a7backed Yes | 0c | 14,385$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c226backed Yes | 3c | 13,925$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.03 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27c…cfeabacked Yes | 2c | 10,952$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 4c | 9,267$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 8,500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1d…4da6backed Yes | 2c | 5,961$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9d…dd7cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,598$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…a9d9backed Yes | 3c | 5,029$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 0c | 4,107$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…08ebbacked Yes | 2c | 3,480$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…2c0fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,226$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…5640backed Yes | 3c | 3,225$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2f…fbbebacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d66…f216backed Yes | 3c | 2,895$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…151fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,627$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…0d04backed Yes | 3c | 2,300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,229$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…3c15backed Yes | 1c | 1,836$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2007…e485backed Yes | 1c | 1,539$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…d246backed Yes | 3c | 1,539$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aea…2566backed Yes | 12c | 1,230$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…0aa4backed Yes | 1c | 1,156$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…e3bebacked Yes | 5c | 1,128$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes | 3c | 1,014$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d8…6698backed Yes | 2c | 964.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…8af3backed Yes | 2c | 570.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Yes | 11c | 375.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…a0abbacked Yes | 7c | 304.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed5…6b6bbacked Yes | 10c | 149.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…b392backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…aad8backed Yes | 13c | 119.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.50 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.00 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.40 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.50 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.60 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.70 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.90 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.10 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.