TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zverevof Medvedev, Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$643,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$697,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $643,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed Zverev62c47,687$29,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,147.4410845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Zverev32c37,023$11,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,023.9924841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Zverev48c28,668$13,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,801.232850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Medvedev54c26,513$14,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,330.4614345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Zverev46c24,517$11,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,239.187857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Medvedev68c17,482$11,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,820.157375.3%55 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Zverev26c16,876$4,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,519.924544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Medvedev63c15,559$9,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,849.633441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Zverev46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,099.9718237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb23…6c30backed Zverev46c10,870$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.574740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Medvedev38c10,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Medvedev62c9,664$6,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,039.562,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Medvedev75c9,486$7,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,078.318,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Medvedev64c8,998$5,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,777.4915436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Medvedev54c8,579$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.92927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+182.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Medvedev54c7,442$4,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,018.8913934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Medvedev43c6,704$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.411,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Medvedev55c6,605$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.292347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Medvedev54c6,175$3,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,322.1622037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Zverev46c6,067$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.393265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Medvedev53c6,000$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Medvedev55c5,565$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.42,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Medvedev54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Zverev8c5,550$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,101.511859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Zverev24c5,478$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,156.6115048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Zverev15c5,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,23028833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Medvedev58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Medvedev55c4,545$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Medvedev54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.9919835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Zverev26c4,379$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.533336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Medvedev55c4,323$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.9112949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Zverev46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…1accbacked Zverev46c3,928$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.263554.3%19 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+78.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Medvedev51c3,622$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.0820653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Medvedev54c3,600$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9447147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Zverev11c3,453$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.915541.9%65 W · 90 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf5…e611backed Zverev18c3,312$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.582729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Medvedev54c3,141$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.014628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Medvedev52c3,065$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.771,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Medvedev22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66057939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Medvedev59c2,817$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.9111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Medvedev54c2,700$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.998429.8%25 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Medvedev54c2,579$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.691,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Zverev25c2,528$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.2816644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Medvedev54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Medvedev54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3504930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Zverev48c2,485$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.9310060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zverev24c2,418$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.16,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Medvedev64c2,353$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89d7…126cbacked Medvedev55c2,332$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…261cbacked Zverev54c2,280$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.441154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Medvedev54c2,240$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.672452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Medvedev46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Zverev27c2,155$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.121136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eae…fbaebacked Zverev47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01a…d527backed Medvedev53c2,125$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f6…c600backed Medvedev55c2,118$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.11145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Medvedev61c2,098$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.394831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Medvedev25c2,001$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Medvedev77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5405259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Medvedev34c2,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6708337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Zverev29c2,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+151.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Medvedev51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.978640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc47e…8ae4backed Zverev21c1,882$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+622.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27db…5897backed Medvedev54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Medvedev53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.9825244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Zverev14c1,795$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.46930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8337…2352backed Medvedev55c1,704$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.672458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Zverev46c1,700$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9189257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee38…7920backed Medvedev40c1,700$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6761546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Medvedev47c1,594$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.7813435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Medvedev63c1,586$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3524844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Zverev36c1,459$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.1333352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Zverev40c1,365$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.2886470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Zverev29c1,362$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.567041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Zverev26c1,286$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.26530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ee…a1debacked Zverev39c1,244$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+113.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Medvedev55c1,182$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65019131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7e…ba65backed Zverev34c1,170$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7741118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Zverev47c1,167$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.321040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Medvedev46c1,160$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9514243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Medvedev80c1,125$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90018663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Zverev48c1,056$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e0…93c4backed Zverev44c1,047$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Zverev48c1,044$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.3111060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Medvedev48c1,000$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4846035%21 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Zverev47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Zverev51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.866747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Zverev46c983.93$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.327342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47f4…d4f8backed Medvedev54c979.99$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Medvedev26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Medvedev54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Zverev46c887.99$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.527335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Zverev47c881.7$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9370465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Zverev39c846.49$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.369149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Medvedev54c818.43$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.388446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Medvedev54c809.26$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4372445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Medvedev74c800$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.0413762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Medvedev54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43243042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Medvedev55c725.15$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.8338348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.