Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x749f479c4f5498a13b66d6d96ce75e2ce83fe7c2b3cf054efdd56101b7b653f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Yes | 11c | 19,999$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,799.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 58c | 4,603$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.64 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be8…cb92backed Yes | 11c | 3,450$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 2,093$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.87 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…876abacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +893.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…6781backed Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…6594backed Yes | 64c | 753.21$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Yes | 71c | 609.41$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 68c | 594.12$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 69c | 580.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5b93backed Yes | 10c | 501$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 31c | 405.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 31c | 399.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…5577backed Yes | 65c | 368.62$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…9b66backed Yes | 67c | 343.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…ced7backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…2d7bbacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…533cbacked Yes | 75c | 268.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 10c | 227.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 9c | 175$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…bca7backed Yes | 69c | 155.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 148.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…3f82backed Yes | 72c | 137.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 116.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b53…1fa3backed Yes | 72c | 107.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2a…c016backed Yes | 69c | 104.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…9159backed Yes | 71c | 77.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…8b25backed Yes | 72c | 60.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 69c | 29.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 73c | 27.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…468abacked Yes | 69c | 23.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2025-10-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.