Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98dc91397709b89c10b5102955e3e7cfba449cc7c76c6e68db9245e9c8ccf72b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 61c | 2,287$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Yes | 43c | 1,704$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,530$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 1,450$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.02 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,112$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.02 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 33c | 974.15$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…4d7fbacked Yes | 31c | 647.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 61c | 604.91$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.19 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…5577backed Yes | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 40c | 274$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 16c | 252.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…a3f3backed Yes | 15c | 178.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…bca7backed Yes | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 159.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 43c | 131.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…a618backed Yes | 34c | 118.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed No | 61c | 111.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…9159backed Yes | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 82.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…2d7bbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 37c | 62.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d00ebacked Yes | 41c | 45.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Yes | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 32c | 43.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 42.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2025-10-31?No won
- Will Henan FC win on 2025-10-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.