Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a62d7f4e2154da708e07463a4aa22b168d10afe548ed81236cd77e39c843b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 6,629$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 33c | 4,026$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 58c | 1,731$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 28c | 1,518$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.14 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…4d7fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,399$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,098$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 13c | 730.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.04 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 71c | 675.12$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.07 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 31c | 578.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.51 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 54c | 463.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f35…acdbbacked Yes | 77c | 317.77$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…03b8backed Yes | 74c | 237.85$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 58c | 229.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 27c | 147.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 63c | 137.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…b4a0backed Yes | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…3d0bbacked No | 26c | 115.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 28c | 111$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…441ebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…e5babacked Yes | 74c | 95.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 56c | 89.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…1393backed Yes | 72c | 82.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b69dbacked No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…b607backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 31c | 47.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…81b6backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fc…7738backed Yes | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 50c | 30.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…c709backed Yes | 74c | 25.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…618fbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…ff19backed Yes | 74c | 20.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…1ef6backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Yes | 74c | 19.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…d867backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…121bbacked Yes | 76c | 17.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…b9e3backed Yes | 76c | 15.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Henan FC win on 2025-10-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.