Earnings · resolved market
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe71d15da0be8b16f0395e3793d80b05a71d7d1838a2fa37a3beabec99410620b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 63c | 7,915$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.44 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 2c | 7,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,696$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…021bbacked Yes | 67c | 4,143$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed No | 34c | 1,355$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.58 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 67c | 1,120$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.28 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…ffa5backed Yes | 7c | 680.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 29c | 635.87$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.67 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 69c | 624.4$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.86 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 68c | 561.67$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.82 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…2e25backed No | 28c | 491$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 30c | 429.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.52 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…5716backed No | 29c | 407.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 25c | 401.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.77 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 74c | 396.67$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d7…3499backed Yes | 80c | 375.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 21c | 336.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ac…2d85backed Yes | 69c | 335$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…03fabacked No | 31c | 327.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…1b00backed Yes | 69c | 288.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 61c | 288$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…3781backed Yes | 79c | 254.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed Yes | 73c | 252.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…1d3ebacked No | 24c | 250.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…7e26backed Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…c5dcbacked Yes | 77c | 244.27$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 33c | 235.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 32c | 230$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 33c | 229.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked No | 28c | 216.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…ae08backed Yes | 67c | 213.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 27c | 211$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…8355backed Yes | 73c | 206.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed No | 34c | 203.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 39c | 201.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…6b2bbacked No | 24c | 197.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 65c | 189.37$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…0858backed Yes | 76c | 178.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…8718backed Yes | 28c | 164.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 65c | 163.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…30c4backed Yes | 73c | 161.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 65c | 160.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 65c | 154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 66c | 153.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…b121backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…73bebacked Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 67c | 149.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…9b66backed Yes | 71c | 149.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 67c | 148.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…4779backed Yes | 80c | 146.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 74c | 140$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked No | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 33c | 140$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked No | 35c | 137.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 72c | 136.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 135.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 27c | 134.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7478backed Yes | 75c | 133.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Yes | 78c | 130.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked Yes | 66c | 120.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…d372backed No | 20c | 117.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +393.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 34c | 115.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 71c | 113$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 69c | 111.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 64cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c2…4fd0backed Yes | 71c | 108.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 66c | 107.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 22c | 105.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…67d1backed Yes | 78c | 103.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…3a4dbacked No | 19c | 103.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…180bbacked Yes | 80c | 102.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7924…b0fbbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…f422backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe701…942ebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…46eabacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…36cdbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 93.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked No | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 32c | 87.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 71c | 84.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…72b6backed No | 21c | 79.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811d…371bbacked Yes | 73c | 78.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d0…881ebacked No | 26c | 77.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +288.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce78…236abacked No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.