Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Ella Seidel vs Tamara Korpatsch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b025dff46a1970a3d6d0fefc2acde74de4379e47e9363188ab5750352afa3e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Korpatschof Seidel, Korpatsch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Korpatsch | 16c | 12,677$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,665.43 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seidel | 67c | 10,164$6,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,793.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seidel | 58c | 8,377$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.79 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Korpatsch | 76c | 5,621$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.09 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Korpatsch | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Seidel | 66c | 3,019$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.05 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seidel | 31c | 2,834$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Seidel | 60c | 2,603$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.87 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Seidel | 43c | 2,203$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.03 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Korpatsch | 66c | 1,211$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.82 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Korpatsch | 52c | 1,129$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.15 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Korpatsch | 55c | 1,100$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.52 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Korpatsch | 39c | 999.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Korpatsch | 20c | 979.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.27 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Seidel | 77c | 934.49$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Korpatsch | 50c | 880$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Korpatsch | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Korpatsch | 27c | 763.17$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.53 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Korpatsch | 29c | 700$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Seidel | 67c | 682.44$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.57 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Korpatsch | 55c | 666.19$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.19 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Korpatsch | 32c | 573.94$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.34 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Korpatsch | 20c | 557.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Seidel | 12c | 555$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Korpatsch | 26c | 440.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Seidel | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Korpatsch | 27c | 399.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.99 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Korpatsch | 36c | 379.08$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.61 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Korpatsch | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Korpatsch | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Korpatsch | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…7c10backed Korpatsch | 22c | 259.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Korpatsch | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Korpatsch | 43c | 230.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d66…3c95backed Korpatsch | 11c | 203.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Korpatsch | 50c | 198.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Seidel | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Seidel | 57c | 192.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Seidel | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Seidel | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…9b66backed Korpatsch | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Korpatsch | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Korpatsch | 21c | 149.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Korpatsch | 45c | 139.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Seidel | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Korpatsch | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…8d38backed Korpatsch | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +168.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Korpatsch | 28c | 90.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…a005backed Seidel | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…9eccbacked Korpatsch | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Seidel | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Korpatsch | 32c | 72.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Korpatsch | 76c | 69.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Korpatsch | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…862dbacked Korpatsch | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…e357backed Seidel | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…6a24backed Seidel | 78c | 60.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…bc6fbacked Korpatsch | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Korpatsch | 33c | 57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Korpatsch | 46c | 56.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked Korpatsch | 48c | 52.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Seidel | 54c | 50.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…375cbacked Seidel | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…9e41backed Korpatsch | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Seidel | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…3079backed Korpatsch | 22c | 46.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…1193backed Seidel | 78c | 46.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…d688backed Seidel | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…b75bbacked Korpatsch | 67c | 44.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…8355backed Seidel | 55c | 34.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Seidel | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…f89dbacked Korpatsch | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Korpatsch | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Seidel | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.