Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26daeaa0b4e1b014a17a33e54489e1316f93873c69f86e3511fd2c003dc3f3f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $630,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 47,963$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 33,199$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.69 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 27,688$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,078$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd0…64e9backed Yes | 18c | 19,392$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…7a75backed Yes | 17c | 11,656$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…da01backed Yes | 0c | 8,790$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…0503backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…12cfbacked Yes | 18c | 7,375$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…61d1backed Yes | 0c | 5,849$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…ab4dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,096$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…ba82backed Yes | 0c | 5,060$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd35…b8d3backed Yes | 0c | 5,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb45…c710backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,941$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…83e9backed Yes | 10c | 4,800$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.86 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 8c | 4,530$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.78 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d8…48b7backed Yes | 3c | 4,500$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…cf90backed Yes | 0c | 4,269$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…83e1backed Yes | 5c | 4,015$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,711$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e51…3e80backed Yes | 5c | 3,709$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…6528backed Yes | 5c | 3,605$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 10c | 3,555$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 9c | 3,412$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 3,318$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…4240backed Yes | 14c | 3,126$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c226backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…2305backed Yes | 4c | 2,477$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05af…1e04backed Yes | 2c | 2,464$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…48a6backed Yes | 10c | 2,460$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…9b66backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…7257backed Yes | 17c | 1,998$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…722abacked Yes | 1c | 1,850$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…a96cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,783$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…7100backed Yes | 3c | 1,671$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 7c | 1,393$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 12c | 1,310$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…731dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,222$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…622fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,109$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…d5b7backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…e80fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,001$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…124fbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…83a3backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes | 2c | 928.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…37b0backed Yes | 3c | 898.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…22a1backed Yes | 3c | 896$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f27…1219backed Yes | 10c | 892.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 11c | 864.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Yes | 6c | 800$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x451b…3955backed Yes | 5c | 789.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…5fddbacked Yes | 8c | 774.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…1327backed Yes | 8c | 713.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…14dcbacked Yes | 9c | 610.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 5c | 600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 10c | 485.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa1…95a0backed Yes | 5c | 484.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…7364backed Yes | 3c | 392.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…4a62backed Yes | 14c | 346.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 9c | 305$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…8d33backed Yes | 5c | 280$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d57…159dbacked Yes | 6c | 213$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d7f8backed Yes | 6c | 207$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…5e9dbacked Yes | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…ecccbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?this page
- Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $130 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?No won
- Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.